Washington @ Atlanta Picks & Props
WAS vs ATL Picks
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WAS vs ATL Props
CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington
CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-strongest out of every team today. Sporting a .338 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, CJ Abrams is ranked in the 76th percentile.
Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington
Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-strongest out of every team today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz's true offensive skill to be a .301, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .063 disparity between that mark and his actual .238 wOBA. Keibert Ruiz ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).
Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Washington
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-strongest out of every team today. Eddie Rosario has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .173 mark is a fair amount lower than his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Eddie Rosario has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 18.6° angle is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (96th percentile).
Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Considering Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Matt Olson will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Reynaldo Lopez today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-strongest out of every team today. Posting a 0.91 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Ildemaro Vargas has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 100th percentile.
Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Michael Harris II's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Michael Harris II is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Given Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Michael Harris II will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Michael Harris II is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.
Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Austin Riley projects as the 19th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Austin Riley will hold that advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .296 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Austin Riley has had bad variance on his side given the .057 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .353.
Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Orlando Arcia has had bad variance on his side this year. His .281 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .342.
Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Atlanta
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Adam Duvall will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Adam Duvall's 12.6% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 85th percentile among his peers. Adam Duvall's 95.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 89th percentile since the start of last season. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Adam Duvall ranks in the 100th percentile with a 28.2° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the majors.
Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Sean Murphy will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Sean Murphy has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .363 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .392. Sean Murphy's 15.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.
Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the same side that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Jacob Young will have a tough challenge in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-strongest out of every team today. Jacob Young has recorded a .285 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • Washington
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-strongest out of every team today. Jesse Winker's footspeed has improved this year. His 23.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.92 ft/sec now.
Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington
Joey Meneses's batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Reynaldo Lopez will have the handedness advantage over Joey Meneses in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-strongest out of every team today.
Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Ozzie Albies's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Ozzie Albies will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ozzie Albies has experienced some negative variance this year. His .320 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .326.
Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the same side that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Riley Adams will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-strongest out of every team today. Riley Adams has been great at making hard contact. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.8 mph) rank him as one of the league's best: in the 87th percentile since the start of last season. Riley Adams grades out in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.2% rate since the start of last season).
Jarred Kelenic Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Jarred Kelenic's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Jarred Kelenic will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Williams in today's game... and the cherry on top, Williams has a large platoon split. Jarred Kelenic will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. Jarred Kelenic hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Nick Senzel Total Hits Props • Washington
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the same side that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Nick Senzel meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-strongest out of every team today.
Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Marcell Ozuna will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Marcell Ozuna's 16.5% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 98th percentile among his peers.
Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington
Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Hitting from the same side that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Lane Thomas faces a tough challenge today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-strongest out of every team today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Lane Thomas's true offensive ability to be a .312, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .079 gap between that figure and his actual .233 wOBA.
WAS vs ATL Trends
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 46 games (+13.45 Units / 23% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (+9.80 Units / 19% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 46 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 48 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 away games (+5.60 Units / 17% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-11.55 Units / -21% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 1 of their last 6 away games (-5.25 Units / -69% ROI)
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 35 games (+17.15 Units / 44% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.99 Units / 57% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 games (+4.15 Units / 9% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 41 games (-22.45 Units / -51% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 29 games (-10.75 Units / -23% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 1 of their last 8 games (-7.00 Units / -77% ROI)
WAS vs ATL Top User Picks
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||
Atlanta Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||