Houston @ Seattle Picks & Props

Jonatan Clase pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jonatan Clase will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.2 ft/sec this year, Jonatan Clase is remarkably athletic.

Mitch Garver is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Mitch Garver will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (42.2% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Mitch Garver tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez. Mitch Garver will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an advantage in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 13th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Yordan Alvarez has been unlucky this year, posting a .345 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .403 — a .058 deviation.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 10th-best batter in MLB. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Miller today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 13th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Seattle's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Kyle Tucker, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 13th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Based on Statcast metrics, Jeremy Pena is in the 86th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .282. Jeremy Pena has posted a .350 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 13th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.254) implies that Alex Bregman has been unlucky this year with his .204 actual batting average.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dylan Moore ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Moore has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Dylan Moore will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Dylan Moore usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Cal Raleigh are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez. Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Cal Raleigh's 12.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.

Josh Rojas has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's game. J.P. Crawford has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .278 figure is quite a bit lower than his .336 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. With a .356 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, J.P. Crawford has performed in the 91st percentile. With a 1.32 K/BB rate since the start of last season, J.P. Crawford has demonstrated strong plate discipline, placing in the 96th percentile.

Jose Abreu is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 8th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Bryce Miller will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Abreu today. Jose Abreu will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Jake Meyers's BABIP talent is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Out of all the teams playing today, the 13th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Jake Meyers and his 21.4% rank in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. Ranking in the 89th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.81 ft/sec this year, Jake Meyers is remarkably athletic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Chas McCormick has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 11th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Chas McCormick has posted a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Chas McCormick has recorded a .271 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball when assessing his BABIP skill. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Julio Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez's true offensive ability to be a .352, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .076 gap between that mark and his actual .276 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 13th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Jose Altuve's speed has increased this season. His 26.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.24 ft/sec now.

Out of all the teams playing today, the 13th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Since the start of last season, Victor Caratini has an average exit velocity of 91.3 mph, which ranks among the elite in the game at the 87th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Jon Singleton will have an advantage in today's game. Jon Singleton pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 13th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. When it comes to plate discipline, Jon Singleton's talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.78 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Yainer Diaz has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 11th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. In terms of his batting average, Yainer Diaz has suffered from bad luck this year. His .260 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266. Since the start of last season, Yainer Diaz's 11.9% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 80th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Ty France will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Ty France will hold that advantage in today's game.

Mitch Haniger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Mitch Haniger will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Mitch Haniger has been unlucky this year, notching a .278 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .037 gap. Mitch Haniger's 11.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 81st percentile since the start of last season. Mitch Haniger grades out in the 88th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.9% rate since the start of last season).

Ryan Bliss has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.