Miami @ Arizona Picks & Props
MIA vs AZ Picks
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MIA vs AZ Consensus Picks
76% picking Arizona
Total PicksMIA 218, AZ 700
MIA vs AZ Props
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
The 3rd-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Chase Field. Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest humidity on the slate at 14%. Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. With a .221 wOBA in the last 14 days, Jake Burger has been struggling at the plate. By putting up a 4.63 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jake Burger has displayed bad plate discipline, checking in at the 10th percentile.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami
The 3rd-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Chase Field. Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest humidity on the slate at 14%. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Bell in today's game. This year, there has been a decline in Josh Bell's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.92 ft/sec last year to 24.71 ft/sec currently. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Josh Bell ranks in just the 18th percentile with a 8.6° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in Major League Baseball.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona
The 3rd-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Chase Field. Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest humidity on the slate at 14%. Sixto Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today's game. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) has been 109.4 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 23rd percentile. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits a large number of his balls with a launch angle that is "too high" (above 38°), which tends to lead to lazy pop-up outs. His 14.5% "too-high" rate since the start of last season is in the 24th percentile.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field ranks as the #4 venue in the league for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Since the start of last season, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s 13% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 88th percentile among his peers. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s 95.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.
Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Chase Field ranks as the #4 venue in the league for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Sixto Sanchez throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand in today's game.
Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Chase Field ranks as the #4 venue in the league for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Sixto Sanchez throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage in today's game.
Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Miami
Emmanuel Rivera is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Chase Field profiles as the #4 venue in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Emmanuel Rivera will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Emmanuel Rivera has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .251 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .294.
Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Chase Field ranks as the #4 venue in the league for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami
The 3rd-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Chase Field. Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest humidity on the slate at 14%. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryan De La Cruz in today's matchup. Bryan De La Cruz hits a large number of his balls with a launch angle that is "too high" (above 38°), which tends to lead to easy pop fly outs. His 13.8% "too-high" rate since the start of last season grades out in the 20th percentile.
Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson as the 3rd-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill. Chase Field profiles as the #4 venue in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Tim Anderson will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tim Anderson's true offensive ability to be a .292, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .076 deviation between that figure and his actual .216 wOBA.
Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today's matchup. By putting up a .283 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gabriel Moreno is ranked in the 87th percentile.
Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Dane Myers is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Chase Field profiles as the #4 venue in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Dane Myers will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup.
Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Chase Field ranks as the #4 venue in the league for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Sixto Sanchez throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an advantage in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
Otto Lopez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field profiles as the #4 venue in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Otto Lopez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .353.
Kevin Newman Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Chase Field profiles as the #4 venue in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Kevin Newman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Tucker Barnhart Total Hits Props • Arizona
Chase Field ranks as the #4 venue in the league for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Tucker Barnhart will hold the platoon advantage against Sixto Sanchez in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Tucker Barnhart will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field profiles as the #4 venue in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.
Eugenio Suárez Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Chase Field profiles as the #4 venue in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage in today's game.
Christian Bethancourt Total Hits Props • Miami
Chase Field profiles as the #4 venue in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Christian Bethancourt will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup.
MIA vs AZ Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 70% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+5.50 Units / 13% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 40% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 away games (+5.35 Units / 98% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 47 games (-11.60 Units / -22% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 25 games (-10.85 Units / -39% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 34 games (-9.25 Units / -22% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 29 games (-7.50 Units / -23% ROI)
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.85 Units / 18% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.35 Units / 43% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 40 games (+4.60 Units / 11% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.85 Units / 19% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 51 games (+3.70 Units / 6% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games (-14.45 Units / -30% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 42 games (-12.50 Units / -23% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 42 games (-12.25 Units / -25% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 39 games (-11.10 Units / -25% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 48 games (-8.90 Units / -17% ROI)
MIA vs AZ Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
Arizona Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||