New York @ San Diego props

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Jurickson Profar will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jurickson Profar's speed has improved this season. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.7 ft/sec now. Posting a 1.09 K/BB rate this year, Jurickson Profar has shown impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 96th percentile.

Petco Park profiles as the #27 park in baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which often leads to less offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 2nd-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Since the start of last season, Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 10th percentile among his peers. Grading out in the 1st percentile, the hardest ball Luis Arraez has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 104 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball. Giancarlo Stanton has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .246 mark is quite a bit higher than his .236 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Giancarlo Stanton's 15.8% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Ha-seong Kim will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) may lead us to conclude that Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky this year with his .212 actual batting average. As it relates to plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.25 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 94th percentile.

Jackson Merrill's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Stroman in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage today.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball. The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Dylan Cease. Oswaldo Cabrera has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .288 mark is a fair amount lower than his .351 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today's matchup. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In notching a .384 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Juan Soto finds himself in the 96th percentile for offensive ability.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres has been unlucky this year, putting up a .277 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .054 deviation. In notching a .358 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Gleyber Torres grades out in the 89th percentile for hitting ability. Gleyber Torres ranks in the 82nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18% rate since the start of last season). Ranking in the 84th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Gleyber Torres demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - an important skill for achieving a high batting average.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's game.

Luis Campusano's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Campusano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Luis Campusano has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .252 BA is considerably higher than his .244 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, David Peralta will have the upper hand in today's matchup. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and David Peralta will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, David Peralta has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .291 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .331.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand in today's matchup. As it relates to his batting average, Austin Wells has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .218 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266. Posting a 1.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Austin Wells has shown impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Alex Verdugo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Alex Verdugo has put up a .268 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. As it relates to his batting average, Aaron Judge has had some very good luck this year. His .275 BA has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .241. Aaron Judge's 26.9% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 100th percentile since the start of last season.

Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Anthony Rizzo will have an advantage in today's matchup. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Anthony Rizzo and his 47.5% since the start of last season rank in the 89th percentile by this measure. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play, and Anthony Rizzo's 24.9° mark (94th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The standard deviation of Anthony Volpe's launch angle since the start of last season (25.2°) is in the 93rd percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play. Anthony Volpe is quite athletic, ranking in the 88th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.72 ft/sec this year. Placing in the 78th percentile, Anthony Volpe sits with a .345 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Jose Trevino has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.