Atlanta @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences among all major league parks — generally bad for home runs. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his worse side (0) today against Mitch Keller Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ozzie Albies today. Ozzie Albies's speed has decreased this year. His 27.54 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.52 ft/sec now. Hitting the ball to all fields is an important ability for batting average that Ozzie Albies has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his ranking in the 2nd percentile on THE BAT X's Spray Score.

PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences among all major league parks — generally bad for home runs. Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will have a tough matchup today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ronald Acuna Jr. today. Ronald Acuna Jr.'s 7.4° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 14th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Jared Triolo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.223) provides evidence that Jared Triolo has had bad variance on his side this year with his .206 actual batting average.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage over Reynaldo Lopez today. Rowdy Tellez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Rowdy Tellez has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 23.36 ft/sec to 24.18 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have an edge in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team today.

Matt Olson projects as the 14th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage today.

Orlando Arcia is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.342) provides evidence that Orlando Arcia has suffered from bad luck this year with his .285 actual wOBA.

Michael Harris II's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage today. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Connor Joe ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Connor Joe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Reynaldo Lopez.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Ji Hwan Bae is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Ji Hwan Bae will have the upper hand in today's game. Ji Hwan Bae will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Edward Olivares will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team today. Zack Short's 20.6° launch angle (a reliable standard to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the game: 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Andrew McCutchen will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Travis d'Arnaud has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team today. Ranked in the 76th percentile, Travis d'Arnaud has one of the highest average exit velocities in the league since the start of last season (90.6-mph).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team today.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Yasmani Grandal will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Joey Bart has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Adam Duvall has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.