Milwaukee @ Houston Picks & Props

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Willy Adames pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Willy Adames's 12.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) grades out in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. William Contreras has been hot recently, hitting his way to a .417 wOBA in the past two weeks. William Contreras's 91.3-mph average exit velocity is among the best in MLB since the start of last season: 85th percentile.

Victor Caratini will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Victor Caratini's 91.3-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the majors since the start of last season: 87th percentile.

Jake Bauers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Jake Bauers's 18.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 97th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Jake Bauers's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 92nd percentile at 96.5 mph.

Sal Frelick's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand today. Sal Frelick has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

Minute Maid Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Colin Rea will have the handedness advantage over Jeremy Pena today. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense grades out as the best out of every team today. Despite posting a .356 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jeremy Pena has had positive variance on his side given the .038 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318. Since the start of last season, Jeremy Pena's 4% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 14th percentile among his peers.

Yainer Diaz has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup. Minute Maid Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Yainer Diaz will have a disadvantage in today's game. Yainer Diaz has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-deepest RF fences today. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense grades out as the best out of every team today.

Blake Perkins has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

Minute Maid Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Batting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense grades out as the best out of every team today. Jose Altuve has been lucky this year, compiling a .367 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .028 disparity. Ranked in the 7th percentile, Jose Altuve's average exit velocity of 86 mph ranks among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.96 ft/sec this year, Jackson Chourio is very toolsy.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best batter in the majors. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the league. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Yordan Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .321 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yordan Alvarez has suffered from bad luck given the .081 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .402.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage in today's matchup. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

Brice Turang has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti today. Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. By putting up a 1.88 K/BB rate this year, Brice Turang has displayed impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 77th percentile.

Jake Meyers's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Minute Maid Park. Jake Meyers will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jake Meyers has been hot lately, cruising to a .380 wOBA over the past two weeks. Jake Meyers is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Alex Bregman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Alex Bregman has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .223 BA is deflated compared to his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Alex Bregman's 17.6° launch angle (an advanced standard to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in baseball: 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Joey Loperfido will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Loperfido will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 85th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.51 ft/sec this year, Joey Loperfido is notably toolsy.

Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jon Singleton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jon Singleton will hold that advantage in today's game. Jon Singleton has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 86th percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.

Gary Sanchez has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.