Cleveland @ Texas Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathaniel Lowe can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Estevan Florial will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jon Gray in today's game. Estevan Florial has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers has just 1 same-handed RP. When it comes to his batting average, Estevan Florial has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .209 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .231.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Ezequiel Duran will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In notching a .342 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ezequiel Duran is ranked in the 75th percentile for hitting ability. Ezequiel Duran has notched a .280 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Gabriel Arias has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.4 mph (a reliable stat to study power), placing in the 93rd percentile.

The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jonah Heim is in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.3% rate since the start of last season). Ranking in the 84th percentile, Jonah Heim has posted a .286 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Will Brennan is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Will Brennan will hold the platoon advantage against Jon Gray in today's matchup. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Will Brennan can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.208) suggests that Austin Hedges has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .178 actual batting average. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Austin Hedges and his 47.2% since the start of last season rank in the 83rd percentile by this measure.

Globe Life Field projects as the #28 stadium in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Globe Life Field. Carlos Carrasco will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien in today's game. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Marcus Semien has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.6 mph (an advanced standard to measure power), grading out in the 13th percentile. Hitting the ball to all fields is a core talent for batting average that Marcus Semien has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his placing in the 12th percentile on THE BAT X's Spray Score.

The #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Globe Life Field. Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Grading out in the 22nd percentile, Jose Ramirez has hit 24.4% of his balls in the air since the start of last season with a velocity of 100+ mph. Jose Ramirez has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a core skill for batting average), grading out in the 4th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

The #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. Corey Seager hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 6th-deepest CF fences today. Corey Seager's footspeed has declined this year. His 26.12 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.12 ft/sec now.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Smith can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today's game.

The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage against Jon Gray today. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Manzardo stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today. Leody Taveras has notched a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 78th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Based on Statcast metrics, Leody Taveras grades out in the 96th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .300.

Andres Gimenez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jon Gray throws from, Andres Gimenez will have the upper hand in today's game. Andres Gimenez will probably have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers has just 1 same-handed RP.

David Fry is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.9-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. David Fry has been hot of late, hitting his way to a .403 wOBA over the past 14 days. David Fry has compiled a .269 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Tyler Freeman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Tyler Freeman has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .221 figure is deflated compared to his .300 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Based on Statcast metrics, Tyler Freeman is in the 86th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .345.

The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Travis Jankowski will have the upper hand today. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Travis Jankowski can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Travis Jankowski will hold that advantage in today's game. Sporting a .264 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Travis Jankowski is ranked in the 76th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Adolis Garcia will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Sporting a .356 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Adolis Garcia finds himself in the 88th percentile for offensive ability.

Robbie Grossman has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.