Washington @ Chicago Picks & Props

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Braden Shewmake can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Braden Shewmake will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Gavin Sheets is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP. Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Nasim Nunez pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Paul DeJong is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Paul DeJong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's game. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Paul DeJong ranks in the 84th percentile with a 16.9° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in baseball.

Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Victor Robles will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Victor Robles has compiled a .268 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Eloy Jimenez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Eloy Jimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Eloy Jimenez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Andrew Vaughn will have an advantage today. Andrew Vaughn has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Andrew Vaughn will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Despite posting a .186 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Keibert Ruiz has suffered from bad luck given the .115 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301. Keibert Ruiz is in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, LaVictor Lipscomb will have an edge in today's matchup. LaVictor Lipscomb has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Nick Senzel has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Nick Senzel will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Joey Meneses's batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Joey Meneses will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Joey Meneses has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-coldest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Tommy Pham's footspeed has decreased this year. His 27.75 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.89 ft/sec now. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Tommy Pham ranks in just the 7th percentile with a 5.4° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in the league.

Rafael Ortega has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Rafael Ortega may have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. Rafael Ortega pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Rafael Ortega will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.216) may lead us to conclude that Rafael Ortega has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .198 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andrew Benintendi can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Andrew Benintendi has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Andrew Benintendi will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jacob Young has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jacob Young will have an advantage in today's game. Jacob Young has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Ildemaro Vargas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Garrett Crochet. Ildemaro Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. By putting up a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ildemaro Vargas is positioned in the 75th percentile.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Korey Lee will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Korey Lee will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nicky Lopez may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nicky Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game. Nicky Lopez has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .221 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nicky Lopez has displayed good plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 91st percentile with a 1.52 K/BB rate.

CJ Abrams is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. In notching a .346 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, CJ Abrams grades out in the 78th percentile. With a .278 batting average this year, CJ Abrams grades out in the 78th percentile.

Riley Adams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Riley Adams has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Riley Adams has really hit the cover off the baseball. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.8 mph) rate him as one of MLB's best: in the 87th percentile since the start of last season. Riley Adams ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.2% rate since the start of last season).

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. Zach Remillard will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's game. Zach Remillard will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jesse Winker has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.