Cleveland @ Texas Picks & Props

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcus Semien ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Marcus Semien will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Marcus Semien grades out in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (21.2% rate since the start of last season).

Josh Smith is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Josh Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Ben Lively in today's game... and moreover, Lively has a large platoon split. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Smith has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Tyler Freeman is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. As it relates to his batting average, Tyler Freeman has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .219 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .300. Using Statcast data, Tyler Freeman grades out in the 86th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .345.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today. In notching a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Leody Taveras is ranked in the 78th percentile for offensive ability. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Leody Taveras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .300.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Estevan Florial will have an edge in today's game. Estevan Florial may have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jonah Heim grades out in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.3% rate since the start of last season). With a .286 batting average this year, Jonah Heim is ranked in the 84th percentile.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge in today's matchup. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Manzardo stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.

Globe Life Field projects as the #27 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Jose Ramirez has hit 24.4% of his balls in the air 100 mph or greater since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile. Hitting the ball to all fields is a key talent for batting average that Jose Ramirez has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his checking in at the 4th percentile on THE BAT X's Spray Score.

This year, Will Brennan has been pulled from the game early in 26% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter. Globe Life Field projects as the #27 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Will Brennan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Since the start of last season, Will Brennan's 2.4% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 4th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the 4th-worst ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Ben Lively will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adolis Garcia in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Lively's large platoon split. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the best among every team playing today. Posting a 4.29 K/BB rate this year, Adolis Garcia has shown weak plate discipline, ranking in the 18th percentile.

Globe Life Field projects as the #27 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Corey Seager hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the best among every team playing today. Corey Seager's footspeed has declined this year. His 26.12 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.04 ft/sec now.

Globe Life Field projects as the #27 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league parks. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the best among every team playing today. Nathaniel Lowe is an extreme groundball batter and faces the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#1-best of all teams on the slate). Nathaniel Lowe's quickness has declined this season. His 27.3 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.57 ft/sec now.

Andres Gimenez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter today. Andres Gimenez will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Bo Naylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter today. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bo Naylor has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bo Naylor has had some very poor luck given the .046 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .294. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Bo Naylor ranks in the 94th percentile with a 21.4° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the game.

David Fry is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. David Fry has been hot lately, putting up a .381 wOBA over the past 14 days. With a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , David Fry is positioned in the 82nd percentile. David Fry has put up a .347 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Using Statcast data, Ezequiel Duran ranks in the 75th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .342. Ezequiel Duran has notched a .280 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Given Ben Lively's large platoon split, Travis Jankowski will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Travis Jankowski has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Travis Jankowski will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, Travis Jankowski ranks in the 76th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .264.