Colorado @ San Diego Picks & Props

This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Ha-seong Kim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Ha-seong Kim will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Ha-seong Kim has had bad variance on his side this year. His .209 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .258. As it relates to plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.4 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 91st percentile.

This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jordan Beck hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jordan Beck is very quick, grading out in the 81st percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.31 ft/sec this year.

Luis Campusano's batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Luis Campusano will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Luis Campusano is in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season).

This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Brenton Doyle has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 15.3° angle is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (80th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Manny Machado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dakota Hudson in today's game.

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Elias Diaz ranks in the 84th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (46.6% rate since the start of last season). By putting up a .291 batting average this year, Elias Diaz is ranked in the 87th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in baseball. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average talent. Luis Arraez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Dakota Hudson in today's game.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Ezequiel Tovar grades out in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (49.8% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Brendan Rodgers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Brendan Rodgers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Brendan Rodgers's 10.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage against Dakota Hudson today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.6% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Sean Bouchard's 20% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Sean Bouchard's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 99th percentile at 100.8 mph. Sean Bouchard grades out in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (36% rate since the start of last season).

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today. Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, compiling a .241 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .084 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge in today's game.

Charlie Blackmon is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Charlie Blackmon will have an advantage in today's matchup. Charlie Blackmon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Charlie Blackmon has been unlucky this year. His .301 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .334.

This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jake Cave will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's matchup. Jake Cave hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jake Cave and his 18.2° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 85th percentile, among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season. Jake Cave has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a core ability for batting average), grading out in the 93rd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate today (75%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage today. Jurickson Profar's speed has increased this year. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.52 ft/sec now. Jurickson Profar has shown strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 95th percentile with a 1.22 K/BB rate.

Tyler Wade has gone over 0.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.