New York @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage today. Juan Soto has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP.

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Jose Siri will have the handedness advantage against Nestor Cortes today. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Siri has experienced some positive variance this year. His .241 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .225.

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Trent Grisham will have an advantage in today's matchup. Trent Grisham is assured to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game since none of the available options for the Tampa Bay Rays share his handedness.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Gleyber Torres has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .255 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gleyber Torres has experienced some negative variance given the .075 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330. Using Statcast data, Gleyber Torres grades out in the 90th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .288.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Alex Verdugo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the game. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. When it comes to his batting average, Aaron Judge has experienced some positive variance this year. His .236 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233. Since the start of last season, Aaron Judge's 26.9% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 100th percentile among his peers.

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Anthony Rizzo will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell in today's game. Anthony Rizzo will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP. Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Rizzo is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.5% rate since the start of last season).

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Jose Caballero will have an edge in today's matchup. Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Caballero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Ramirez as the 16th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average skill. Harold Ramirez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Harold Ramirez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Harold Ramirez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

In the majors, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Alex Jackson will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Jackson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

In MLB, Tropicana Field's right field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his good side against Zack Littell in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.340) provides evidence that Oswaldo Cabrera has had bad variance on his side this year with his .302 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-worst stadium in the game for righty base hits. This year, there has been a decline in Yandy Diaz's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.61 ft/sec last year to 24.95 ft/sec currently. Yandy Diaz has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 5° angle is among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season (4th percentile). Sporting a .267 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Yandy Diaz finds himself in the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-worst stadium in the game for righty base hits. Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 9th-deepest CF fences today. Since the start of last season, Amed Rosario's 3.6% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 11th percentile among his peers. Amed Rosario has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 5.4° mark is among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season (6th percentile). Amed Rosario has shown poor plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 20th percentile with a 3.71 K/BB rate.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Randy Arozarena will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. In terms of his batting average, Giancarlo Stanton has been lucky this year. His .229 BA has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .219.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Anthony Volpe ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Anthony Volpe is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Anthony Volpe has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .255 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .219 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Austin Wells has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Austin Wells has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) implies that Austin Wells has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .211 actual batting average.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes in today's game. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (44.5% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jon Berti is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Jon Berti has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (46.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.