Arizona @ Baltimore Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences in the league. Heston Kjerstad will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today. Heston Kjerstad will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. The #10 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hitting from the opposite that John Means throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an advantage today. Eugenio Suarez has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .283 rate is quite a bit higher than his .282 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Eugenio Suarez's 12.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) grades out in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The #10 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Gabriel Moreno will hold the platoon advantage over John Means today. Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Gabriel Moreno are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like John Means.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Santander will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Anthony Santander has an average exit velocity of 90.6 mph, which ranks among the elite in Major League Baseball at the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The #10 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Christian Walker will hold the platoon advantage against John Means in today's matchup. Christian Walker has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .375 mark is a good deal lower than his .377 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences in the league. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Corbin Carroll has been unlucky this year, posting a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .082 disparity. Posting a .356 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Corbin Carroll is ranked in the 88th percentile for hitting ability.

Ryne Nelson will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Mountcastle today.

Despite posting a .382 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate given the .033 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .349.

Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 82nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's deepest LF fences today. Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. This year, there has been a decline in Ketel Marte's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.52 ft/sec last year to 26.88 ft/sec currently. Ketel Marte ranks in the 10th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (12.1% rate since the start of last season).

The #10 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Jorge Mateo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Jorge Mateo has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .274 rate is quite a bit lower than his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jorge Mateo has been great at making hard contact. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) rank him among MLB's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season. Ranking in the 98th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.69 ft/sec this year, Jorge Mateo is very fast.

The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have an edge in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 99th percentile with a 21.7° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Colton Cowser is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Colton Cowser has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .372.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the handedness advantage against John Means in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been unlucky this year. His .288 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .394.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The #10 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 91st percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .286. Jordan Westburg's 90.2-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in MLB since the start of last season: 77th percentile.

The #10 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Batting from the opposite that John Means throws from, Kevin Newman will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Kevin Newman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Kevin Newman has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .279 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .339. Kevin Newman grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50.8% rate since the start of last season).

Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #10 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Randal Grichuk will have the handedness advantage over John Means in today's game.