New York @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props
NYY vs TB Picks
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NYY vs TB Consensus Picks
65% picking NY Yankees
Total PicksNYY 553, TB 292
60% picking NY Yankees vs Tampa Bay to go Over
Total PicksNYY 270, TB 179
NYY vs TB Props
Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley today. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Anthony Volpe ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Tropicana Field has the 6th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Anthony Volpe has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .333 figure is quite a bit higher than his .300 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Harold Ramírez Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
When estimating his batting average talent, Harold Ramirez is projected as the 14th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Harold Ramirez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Harold Ramirez has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.
Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Alex Verdugo will have an edge today. Alex Verdugo is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP.
Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game.
Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (44.5% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Isaac Paredes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Alex Jackson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Tropicana Field has the 6th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Alex Jackson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Gleyber Torres has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres has been unlucky this year, putting up a .261 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .070 gap. Using Statcast metrics, Gleyber Torres grades out in the 90th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .288.
Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Tropicana Field has the 6th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. As it relates to his batting average, Aaron Judge has suffered from bad luck this year. His .222 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .230.
Yandy Díaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Tropicana Field projects as the #25 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Clarke Schmidt will have the handedness advantage over Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 26.61 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.95 ft/sec now. Yandy Diaz has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 5° angle is among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season (4th percentile). Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Yandy Diaz has put up a .258 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Richie Palacios Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Richie Palacios will hold the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today. Richie Palacios pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Richie Palacios will hold that advantage in today's game.
Ben Rortvedt Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have an advantage in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Ben Rortvedt will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Ben Rortvedt has been hot of late, hitting his way to a .369 wOBA over the last week.
Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Jose Caballero will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in MLB.
Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Tropicana Field has the 6th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. When it comes to his batting average, Giancarlo Stanton has been lucky this year. His .220 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .214.
Jose Trevino Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
Tropicana Field has the 6th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jose Trevino has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .230 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Anthony Rizzo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Anthony Rizzo will have an edge in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Anthony Rizzo can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Rizzo is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.5% rate since the start of last season).
Oswaldo Cabrera Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
The 5th-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Taj Bradley. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.340) provides evidence that Oswaldo Cabrera has had bad variance on his side this year with his .302 actual wOBA.
Jon Berti Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
Jon Berti's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jon Berti has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (46.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Josh Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
NYY vs TB Trends
New York Trends
The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 42% ROI)
The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
The New York Yankees have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 63 away games (-18.30 Units / -27% ROI)
The New York Yankees have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 15 games (-6.29 Units / -34% ROI)
The New York Yankees have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.69 Units / -29% ROI)
The New York Yankees have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.00 Units / -26% ROI)
Tampa Bay Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.19 Units / 14% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.26 Units / 16% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 98 games (-25.12 Units / -21% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 91 games (-23.20 Units / -17% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 60 games at home (-22.50 Units / -34% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 126 games (-20.77 Units / -14% ROI)
NYY vs TB Top User Picks
NY Yankees Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TAURO1954 | 6-4-0 | +20640 |
| 2 | faustobaez | 5-5-0 | +18570 |
| 3 | faustobone | 5-5-0 | +18455 |
| 4 | proliner55 | 7-3-0 | +17645 |
| 5 | cucamonga | 6-4-0 | +17345 |
| 6 | Jets73 | 8-2-0 | +16105 |
| 7 | Hawggolf1 | 5-5-0 | +16085 |
| 8 | burley | 7-3-0 | +15930 |
| 9 | poppyg | 6-4-0 | +15772 |
| 10 | Fekete | 7-3-0 | +14610 |
| All Yankees Money Leaders | |||
Tampa Bay Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | funaki | 7-3-0 | +19280 |
| 2 | pokersquirrel | 2-7-1 | +17755 |
| 3 | kowalabear | 8-2-0 | +15775 |
| 4 | vladislav1968 | 5-4-1 | +15330 |
| 5 | kenpitch | 5-4-1 | +13015 |
| 6 | Smmiou07 | 7-2-1 | +12845 |
| 7 | adgadg222 | 5-4-1 | +12550 |
| 8 | Mexicali72 | 4-6-0 | +11420 |
| 9 | brandydump1 | 6-4-0 | +11345 |
| 10 | mm76ers | 5-5-0 | +11325 |
| All Rays Money Leaders | |||