Washington @ Boston Picks & Props
WAS vs BOS Picks
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WAS vs BOS Consensus Picks
71% picking Boston
Total PicksWAS 238, BOS 575
61% picking Washington vs Boston to go Over
Total PicksWAS 298, BOS 191
WAS vs BOS Props
Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jacob Young has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jacob Young has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in MLB. Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup.
Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jesse Winker is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Fenway Park. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Jesse Winker will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston
The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Wilyer Abreu is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. Wilyer Abreu has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Wilyer Abreu will hold that advantage today. Wilyer Abreu's speed has improved this season. His 26.74 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.23 ft/sec now.
Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston
Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Fenway Park. Rafael Devers will probably have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.
CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, CJ Abrams will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington
Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this game calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 51°. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Extreme flyball bats like Luis Garcia tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Houck. Luis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston
Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this game calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 51°. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Patrick Corbin will hold the platoon advantage over Jarren Duran today. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among every team in action today.
Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in MLB. Tyler O'Neill will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup.
Romy Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Romy Gonzalez will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's game. Romy Gonzalez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Romy Gonzalez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Vaughn Grissom Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in MLB. Vaughn Grissom will hold the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Vaughn Grissom will hold that advantage today.
Garrett Cooper Total Hits Props • Boston
Garrett Cooper's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Garrett Cooper will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Garrett Cooper has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Garrett Cooper will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Washington
The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Considering Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Eddie Rosario will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Eddie Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Eddie Rosario has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .213 figure is a good deal lower than his .336 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston
Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin today. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Connor Wong is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in MLB. Connor Wong will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup.
Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington
The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Tanner Houck) in today's game. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz's true offensive ability to be a .303, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .112 difference between that mark and his actual .191 wOBA.
Nick Senzel Total Hits Props • Washington
Nick Senzel is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in MLB. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
Trey Lipscomb Total Hits Props • Washington
The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. LaVictor Lipscomb has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
Victor Robles Total Hits Props • Washington
The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Victor Robles pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Utilizing Statcast data, Victor Robles ranks in the 81st percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .268.
Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Joey Meneses is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Joey Meneses has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
WAS vs BOS Trends
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 92 games (+19.55 Units / 20% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 63 away games (+4.45 Units / 6% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 33 away games (-11.86 Units / -31% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 32 away games (-11.00 Units / -31% ROI)
Boston Trends
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 48 games at home (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 124 games (-25.25 Units / -15% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 116 games (-22.35 Units / -15% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 118 games (-16.30 Units / -12% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 15 games (-7.75 Units / -39% ROI)
WAS vs BOS Top User Picks
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||
Boston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dispnum1 | 5-5-0 | +16630 |
| 2 | stakay125 | 7-3-0 | +16380 |
| 3 | Jackson2399 | 6-4-0 | +15369 |
| 4 | regger22 | 8-2-0 | +14785 |
| 5 | Andrew333_ | 7-3-0 | +13995 |
| 6 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +13785 |
| 7 | Shitman | 8-2-0 | +13440 |
| 8 | Coakley | 7-3-0 | +12975 |
| 9 | Sandsaver727 | 3-7-0 | +12835 |
| 10 | TheTotalMan | 9-1-0 | +12815 |
| All Red Sox Money Leaders | |||