Arizona @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Joc Pederson projects as the 19th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for LHB batting average. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage over Graham Ashcraft today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for LHB batting average. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Kevin Newman has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .285 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .339. Kevin Newman grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (50.8% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Santiago Espinal is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Santiago Espinal will hold the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Spencer Steer is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 6th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Luke Maile will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Luke Maile pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Luke Maile will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for LHB batting average. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. T.J. Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. T.J. Friedl will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. As it relates to plate discipline, T.J. Friedl's talent is quite strong, putting up a 1.91 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 6th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for LHB batting average. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Will Benson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Will Benson's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 84th percentile at 94.8 mph. Will Benson grades out in the 83rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.3% rate since the start of last season).

The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Jordan Montgomery. Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's game.

Graham Ashcraft will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today's matchup. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) has been 109.4 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 23rd percentile. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits a lot of balls with a launch angle that is "too high" (above 38°), which tends to lead to easy pop-ups. His 14.5% "too-high" rate since the start of last season is in the 24th percentile. Ranking in the 12th percentile, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. sports a .264 BABIP since the start of last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 6th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for LHB batting average. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jake McCarthy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft in today's game. Jake McCarthy has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for LHB batting average. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have an edge in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Hitters such as Eugenio Suarez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Graham Ashcraft who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.279) provides evidence that Christian Walker has experienced some positive variance this year with his .280 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. By putting up a .283 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 86th percentile. Checking in at the 94th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Gabriel Moreno demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial ability for achieving a high batting average.

The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 6th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Stuart Fairchild will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Stuart Fairchild will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for LHB batting average. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Pavin Smith will have the upper hand today. When it comes to his batting average, Pavin Smith has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .190 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .207. Pavin Smith has really hit the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (108.6 mph) rate him as one of the league's best: in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.