New York @ St. Louis Picks & Props

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Jose Butto throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Paul Goldschmidt will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Butto throws from, Brandon Crawford will have an edge today. Brandon Crawford is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Brandon Crawford hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Lars Nootbaar has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Jose Butto throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brett Baty has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .223 mark is considerably lower than his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

D.J. Stewart is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. D.J. Stewart will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today. Since the start of last season, D.J. Stewart's 12.5% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 7th-worst ballpark in the league for righty base hits. Miles Mikolas will hold the platoon advantage against Starling Marte today. Starling Marte has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Starling Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Starling Marte's footspeed has decreased this season. His 27.13 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.02 ft/sec now.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.267) may lead us to conclude that Masyn Winn has had some very good luck this year with his .301 actual wOBA.

Busch Stadium profiles as the #22 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Nimmo today. This year, there has been a decline in Brandon Nimmo's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28 ft/sec last year to 27.22 ft/sec currently. Brandon Nimmo has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 8.2° angle is among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season (23rd percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Butto in today's game.

Pete Alonso projects as the 20th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Alonso's true offensive talent to be a .352, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .049 disparity between that mark and his actual .303 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas today. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Tomas Nido hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.287) may lead us to conclude that Nolan Arenado has had positive variance on his side this year with his .325 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Utilizing Statcast data, J.D. Martinez is in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .270. Since the start of last season, J.D. Martinez's 17.1% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Francisco Lindor has been unlucky this year, notching a .289 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .338 — a .049 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Butto today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alec Burleson has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Dylan Carlson has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.