Arizona @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 park in baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 88%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.279) provides evidence that Christian Walker has been lucky this year with his .280 actual batting average.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 park in baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 88%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 park in baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 88%. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Eugenio Suarez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .274 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .282 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

T.J. Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 88%. Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, T.J. Friedl will have an edge in today's matchup. T.J. Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Spencer Steer is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 park in baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 88%. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 park in baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 88%. Tyler Stephenson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 88%. Will Benson will have the handedness advantage against Zac Gallen in today's game. Will Benson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Will Benson's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 84th percentile at 94.8 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 88%. Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Jeimer Candelario will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario grades out in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (17.8% rate since the start of last season).

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 park in baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 88%. Jonathan India will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 park in baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 88%. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .224 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Encarnacion-Strand has suffered from bad luck given the .087 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 88%. Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge in today's matchup. Jake McCarthy has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corbin Carroll in today's matchup. Corbin Carroll's speed has dropped off this year. His 30.05 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.93 ft/sec now. A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play, and Corbin Carroll's 29.8° mark (14th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a weak hitting profile. Corbin Carroll has compiled a .190 batting average this year, ranking in the 16th percentile.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Frankie Montas in today's matchup. Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Ketel Marte's speed has declined this year. His 27.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.8 ft/sec now. Ketel Marte grades out in the 10th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (12.1% rate since the start of last season).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Joc Pederson ranks as the 19th-best batter in MLB. Joc Pederson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 88%. Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage over Frankie Montas today.

Nick Martini is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest in MLB. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions on the slate today. Nick Martini will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today. Nick Martini will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average. The 4th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 88%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 park in baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate today. Gabriel Moreno has recorded a .283 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Gabriel Moreno has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial skill for batting average), checking in at the 94th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Jake Fraley is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 88%. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions on the slate today. Santiago Espinal has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Santiago Espinal will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Santiago Espinal's true offensive talent to be a .288, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .081 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .207 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average. The 4th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 88%. Hitting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Tucker Barnhart will have an advantage today. Tucker Barnhart has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 23.31 ft/sec to 24.2 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Kevin Newman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 park in baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 88%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.309) implies that Kevin Newman has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .238 actual batting average. Kevin Newman ranks in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50.8% rate since the start of last season).

Luke Maile has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.