Baltimore @ Washington Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 12th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. The 6th-shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Nationals Park. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's game... and even more favorably, Williams has a large platoon split. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Colton Cowser is assured to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game. In the last two weeks, Colton Cowser has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .389.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Santander's 90.6-mph average exit velocity is among the best in baseball since the start of last season: 76th percentile. Anthony Santander's 20.1° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 95th percentile.

The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Corbin Burnes. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz is in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

Luis Garcia's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Garcia is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The 6th-shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Nationals Park. Luis Garcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Ryan Mountcastle has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.293) implies that Ryan Mountcastle has experienced some positive variance this year with his .351 actual wOBA. Using Statcast data, Ryan Mountcastle is in the 87th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .284.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The 6th-shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Nationals Park. Considering Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Gunnar Henderson will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson is assured to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jacob Young is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Jacob Young has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Jacob Young will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge today. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The 6th-shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Nationals Park. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Williams in today's game... and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Ryan O'Hearn is certain to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game.

Ramon Urias has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ramon Urias has compiled a .332 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile.

Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Williams in today's game... and the cherry on top, Williams has a large platoon split. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins II is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever all game. Cedric Mullins II pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II's 21.7° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the game: 99th percentile.

Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. LaVictor Lipscomb will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Nick Senzel is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage today.

The 6th-shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Nationals Park. Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage over Corbin Burnes today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Eddie Rosario will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Eddie Rosario has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .173 figure is deflated compared to his .327 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst stadium in baseball for righty batting average. Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Jordan Westburg will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jordan Westburg today. Despite posting a .361 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Westburg has been very fortunate given the .043 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

Nationals Park profiles as the #26 stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Trevor Williams... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Williams's large platoon split. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Adley Rutschman in today's game. Adley Rutschman's speed has fallen off this year. His 27 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.4 ft/sec now.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Nationals Park. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Jesse Winker will have the upper hand in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Considering Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Heston Kjerstad will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad is certain to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game considering none of the available options for the Washington Nationals share his handedness. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Since the start of last season, Heston Kjerstad's 20% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers.

Joey Meneses's batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Joey Meneses will hold that advantage in today's game. In notching a .321 BABIP since the start of last season, Joey Meneses grades out in the 82nd percentile.