Atlanta @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Austin Barnes will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's game. Austin Barnes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Austin Barnes will hold that advantage in today's game.

The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. Chris Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Extreme groundball batters like Chris Taylor tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Fried. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Chris Taylor will hold that advantage today.

Miguel Rojas's batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Miguel Rojas will have the upper hand in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Miguel Rojas has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .281 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .327.

Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Andy Pages will have the upper hand today. Hitters such as Andy Pages with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Fried who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last two weeks, Andy Pages has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .398.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Michael Harris II hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Posting a .384 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Michael Harris II finds himself in the 96th percentile for offensive ability. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Michael Harris II has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.9 mph (an advanced metric to evaluate power), checking in at the 83rd percentile. In notching a .331 BABIP since the start of last season, Michael Harris II finds himself in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his good side against James Paxton in today's game. Ozzie Albies has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 18° mark is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (95th percentile).

Mookie Betts projects as the 8th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Mookie Betts is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Mookie Betts will have an edge in today's matchup. Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Bats such as Mookie Betts with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Fried who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ronald Acuna Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average talent. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Ronald Acuna Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over James Paxton in today's matchup. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Ronald Acuna Jr. has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .327 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .365.

Austin Riley projects as the 16th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. Hitting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Austin Riley will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Austin Riley has posted a .362 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 90th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Freddie Freeman will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Teoscar Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Teoscar Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Despite posting a .298 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Olson has suffered from bad luck given the .064 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .362. With a .385 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Matt Olson is ranked in the 96th percentile for offensive skills. Since the start of last season, Matt Olson's 16.3% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 97th percentile among his peers.

Batting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Travis d'Arnaud will have an advantage in today's matchup. Travis d'Arnaud has been hot of late, cruising to a .375 wOBA in the past 14 days. Since the start of last season, Travis d'Arnaud has an average exit velocity of 90.6 mph, which is one of the best in MLB at the 76th percentile. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Travis d'Arnaud and his 17.9% rank in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.

The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. Orlando Arcia will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Orlando Arcia has been unlucky this year. His .299 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .348.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. Batting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have the upper hand in today's game. Based on Statcast data, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .364.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the game. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Cory Blaser projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game. Austin Barnes, the Dodgers's expected catcher in today's game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium.

Kike Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Kike Hernandez will have an edge in today's matchup. Kike Hernandez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Kike Hernandez will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. Batting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Adam Duvall will have an edge in today's game. Adam Duvall's 12.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) ranks in the 85th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Adam Duvall's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 89th percentile at 95.1 mph. Adam Duvall's 28.2° launch angle (a reliable standard to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the majors: 100th percentile.

Max Muncy has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.