CHC -107 o8.5
CIN -101 u8.5
ATH -108 o8.5
PIT -100 u8.5
ATL +105 o9.0
DET -114 u9.0
NYY -118 o9.0
BAL +109 u9.0
WAS +186 o8.5
NYM -204 u8.5
BOS -130 o6.5
TB +120 u6.5
TOR -124 o9.0
KC +114 u9.0
SD -185 o8.0
CHW +169 u8.0
MIA +136 o8.0
TEX -148 u8.0
SEA -109 o7.5
HOU +101 u7.5
CLE -103 o7.5
MIN -105 u7.5
LAA -117 o12.0
COL +108 u12.0
MIL -115 o7.5
STL +106 u7.5
PHI +112 o9.5
AZ -121 u9.5
SF +159 o8.5
LAD -174 u8.5
FOX

New York @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

NYM vs TB Picks

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NYM vs TB Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jose Caballero
J. Caballero
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in MLB. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Jose Caballero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in MLB. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Jose Caballero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Randy Arozarena
R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Randy Arozarena will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Randy Arozarena will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Harold Ramírez Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Harold Ramírez
H. Ramírez
designated hitter DH • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his batting average skill, Harold Ramirez is projected as the 13th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Harold Ramirez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Harold Ramirez has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today.

Harold Ramírez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his batting average skill, Harold Ramirez is projected as the 13th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Harold Ramirez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Harold Ramirez has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today.

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jose Siri
J. Siri
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Siri has been very fortunate this year. His .261 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .230.

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Siri has been very fortunate this year. His .261 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .230.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, Francisco Lindor is in the 85th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, Francisco Lindor is in the 85th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.

Yandy Díaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Yandy Díaz
Y. Díaz
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Tropicana Field ranks as the #28 park in the league for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Christian Scott will hold the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. This year, there has been a decline in Yandy Diaz's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.61 ft/sec last year to 24.36 ft/sec currently. Yandy Diaz and his 5° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 4th percentile, among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season.

Yandy Díaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Tropicana Field ranks as the #28 park in the league for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Christian Scott will hold the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. This year, there has been a decline in Yandy Diaz's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.61 ft/sec last year to 24.36 ft/sec currently. Yandy Diaz and his 5° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 4th percentile, among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Isaac Paredes
I. Paredes
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (44.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (44.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Amed Rosario
A. Rosario
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his batting average ability, Amed Rosario is projected as the 14th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today. Amed Rosario will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Amed Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his batting average ability, Amed Rosario is projected as the 14th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today. Amed Rosario will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Richie Palacios Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Richie Palacios
R. Palacios
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Richie Palacios is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Richie Palacios will have an advantage today. Richie Palacios will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Richie Palacios pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Richie Palacios

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Richie Palacios is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Richie Palacios will have an advantage today. Richie Palacios will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Richie Palacios pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Ben Rortvedt Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Ben Rortvedt
B. Rortvedt
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have the upper hand in today's game. Ben Rortvedt is likely to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage today.

Ben Rortvedt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have the upper hand in today's game. Ben Rortvedt is likely to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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