Atlanta @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Michael Harris II's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Michael Harris II will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Stone in today's matchup. Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Michael Harris II has recorded a .384 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 96th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Michael Harris II has compiled a .326 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 99th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Over the past 7 days, Travis d'Arnaud has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .392. Travis d'Arnaud is in the 81st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (17.9% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Using Statcast data, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .366. Since the start of last season, Marcell Ozuna's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 96th percentile at 96.5 mph. Marcell Ozuna and his 16.1° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 86th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the game. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Stone today. Despite posting a .303 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Olson has had some very poor luck given the .061 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .364. In notching a .385 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Matt Olson has performed in the 96th percentile for offensive skills.

Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Max Muncy will hold the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup. Max Muncy will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Max Muncy's 95.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to evaluate power) is in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Max Muncy ranks in the 100th percentile with a 22.2° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the league.

James Outman will hold the platoon advantage over Charlie Morton in today's matchup. James Outman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. James Outman has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .244 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .262 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. James Outman and his 17° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 90th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season. James Outman is notably fast, ranking in the 89th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.69 ft/sec this year.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Atlanta Braves offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year. It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nestor Ceja) behind the plate in this game. Shohei Ohtani will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton today.

Mookie Betts projects as the 8th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Mookie Betts is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Mookie Betts will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Mookie Betts has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .473.

Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Gavin Lux will have an edge in today's game. Gavin Lux hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Gavin Lux will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .213 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gavin Lux has been unlucky given the .096 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

Gavin Stone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. today. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Ronald Acuna Jr.'s quickness has dropped off this season. His 27.95 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.49 ft/sec now. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks in just the 14th percentile with a 7.4° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in MLB.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the game. Austin Riley is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Austin Riley has been unlucky this year, compiling a .293 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .357 — a .064 difference. Austin Riley has posted a .362 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 90th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Placing in the 95th percentile, the hardest ball Austin Riley has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.1 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Teoscar Hernandez has had some very good luck this year. His .341 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303. Teoscar Hernandez's 95-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 88th percentile since the start of last season. Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (47.7% rate since the start of last season).

When estimating his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an edge today. Freddie Freeman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Freddie Freeman has been unlucky this year. His .374 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .397.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past week, Andy Pages has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .350. Ranking in the 82nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.29 ft/sec this year, Andy Pages is very quick.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Orlando Arcia has had bad variance on his side this year. His .309 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .348.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Ozzie Albies and his 18° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 95th percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season. Ozzie Albies has posted a .359 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Jarred Kelenic has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.