San Diego @ Arizona props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage today. Christian Walker has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .361 rate is considerably lower than his .379 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ha-seong Kim has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .305 rate is quite a bit lower than his .341 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ha-seong Kim has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 88th percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jurickson Profar's speed has improved this year. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.7 ft/sec now. Jurickson Profar has been hot recently, posting a .393 wOBA in the past week's worth of games. In terms of plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.78 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Luis Campusano has been lucky this year. His .315 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .287. Posting a .272 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Luis Campusano finds himself in the 77th percentile. Luis Campusano grades out in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season).

Pavin Smith is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Pavin Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today. Pavin Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Pavin Smith has really hit the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (108.6 mph) rate him as one of the game's best: in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .250 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corbin Carroll has had bad variance on his side given the .091 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .341.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gabriel Moreno will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. By putting up a .283 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gabriel Moreno is positioned in the 86th percentile. The standard deviation of Gabriel Moreno's launch angle since the start of last season (25.6°) is in the 89th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Slade Cecconi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jake Cronenworth hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 3rd-deepest CF fences today. Jake Cronenworth will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. This season, there has been a decline in Jake Cronenworth's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.28 ft/sec last year to 27.05 ft/sec currently. Jake Cronenworth's 89.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game. Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Hitting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Manny Machado will not have the upper hand today. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Manny Machado's footspeed has dropped off this year. His 26.25 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.61 ft/sec now. Manny Machado ranks in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (38.5% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Xander Bogaerts has suffered from bad luck this year. His .258 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .294. Xander Bogaerts has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 77th percentile with a 1.92 K/BB rate.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Joc Pederson ranks as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Joc Pederson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has had bad variance on his side this year. His .326 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .402.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ketel Marte has been lucky this year. His .374 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .328.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Eugenio Suarez will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Eugenio Suarez has suffered from bad luck this year. His .281 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .283. Eugenio Suarez has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 20.4° angle is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (98th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the most favorable hitting conditions of the day. Jake McCarthy will hold the platoon advantage over Dylan Cease in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today's game.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tyler Wade will hold the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, Tyler Wade is in the 89th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .282. Tyler Wade is very quick, grading out in the 86th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.5 ft/sec this year.