Texas @ Kansas City Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Leody Taveras has notched a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 77th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Leody Taveras has recorded a .300 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Josh Smith ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, Josh Smith will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Josh Smith has been hot in recent games, batting his way to a .399 wOBA in the past two weeks. Josh Smith has recorded a .347 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Brady Singer today... and the cherry on top, Singer has a large platoon split. Sporting a .346 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nathaniel Lowe is positioned in the 79th percentile for offensive skills.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Freddy Fermin has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .322 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .342. Freddy Fermin has put up a .288 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Freddy Fermin ranks in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50% rate since the start of last season).

Michael Lorenzen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia in today's matchup. Today, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.3% rate (95th percentile). Maikel Garcia has notched a .293 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 20th percentile.

Michael Lorenzen will have the handedness advantage against Salvador Perez today. Today, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.3% rate (89th percentile). Despite posting a .424 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Salvador Perez has been very fortunate given the .101 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Salvador Perez grades out in the 21st percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .298. Placing in the 3rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 24.44 ft/sec this year, Salvador Perez is quite slow.

Michael Lorenzen will hold the platoon advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, posting a .385 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .353 — a .032 gap.

Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, Adolis Garcia will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adolis Garcia today. Adolis Garcia's quickness has declined this season. His 27.33 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.88 ft/sec now. Adolis Garcia has been lucky this year, posting a .389 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .059 disparity.

Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-deepest LF fences today. Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Marcus Semien has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.6 mph (a reliable stat to evaluate power), placing in the 13th percentile. Hitting the ball to all fields is a key talent for batting average that Marcus Semien has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his ranking in the 12th percentile on THE BAT X's Spray Score.

Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. This season, there has been a decline in Corey Seager's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.12 ft/sec last year to 24.71 ft/sec currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Evan Carter is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Evan Carter will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer today... and even better, Singer has a large platoon split. Evan Carter has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .332 mark is considerably lower than his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Wyatt Langford's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Wyatt Langford is notably athletic, checking in at the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.52 ft/sec this year.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Nelson Velazquez will hold that advantage in today's game. In notching a .346 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez has performed in the 86th percentile for offensive skills. Nelson Velazquez's 95.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 89th percentile since the start of last season. Nelson Velazquez ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (22.8% rate since the start of last season).

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Hunter Renfroe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an edge today. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Vinnie Pasquantino stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand today. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Jonah Heim is in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.3% rate since the start of last season).

Michael Massey is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Michael Massey will have an edge today. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Massey stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Travis Jankowski will have the handedness advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even better, Singer has a large platoon split. Using Statcast metrics, Travis Jankowski ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .264. When it comes to plate discipline, Travis Jankowski's talent is quite good, sporting a 1.18 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. MJ Melendez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's game. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so MJ Melendez stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and MJ Melendez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.