NBC Bay Area, MLBN, NESN

San Francisco @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nick Ahmed Total Hits Props • San Francisco

N. Ahmed
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+700
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+700
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Nick Ahmed hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 10th-strongest among all the teams today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) suggests that Nick Ahmed has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .222 actual batting average.

Nick Ahmed

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Nick Ahmed hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 10th-strongest among all the teams today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) suggests that Nick Ahmed has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .222 actual batting average.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+300
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+300
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Michael Conforto is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Michael Conforto is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Zack Short Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Z. Short
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+500
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+500
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Zack Short will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's matchup. Zack Short hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 11th-best infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

Zack Short

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Zack Short will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's matchup. Zack Short hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 11th-best infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+255
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+255
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Bobby Dalbec Total Hits Props • Boston

B. Dalbec
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+425
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+425
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Bobby Dalbec will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Harrison in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 11th-best infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

Bobby Dalbec

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Bobby Dalbec will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Harrison in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 11th-best infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Refsnyder
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Patrick Bailey pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 10th-strongest among all the teams today.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Patrick Bailey pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 10th-strongest among all the teams today.

Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Estrada
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Thairo Estrada pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 10th-strongest among all the teams today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Thairo Estrada has been lucky this year. His .279 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .263.

Thairo Estrada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Thairo Estrada pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 10th-strongest among all the teams today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Thairo Estrada has been lucky this year. His .279 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .263.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Wilmer Flores pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Wilmer Flores tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Josh Winckowski.

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Wilmer Flores pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Wilmer Flores tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Josh Winckowski.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Soler
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jorge Soler pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jorge Soler pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-169
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-169
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Matt Chapman tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Josh Winckowski.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Matt Chapman tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Josh Winckowski.

Garrett Cooper Total Hits Props • Boston

G. Cooper
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

Garrett Cooper's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Garrett Cooper will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Harrison in today's game. Garrett Cooper has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Garrett Cooper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Garrett Cooper's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Garrett Cooper will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Harrison in today's game. Garrett Cooper has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Wilyer Abreu has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of San Francisco (#3-worst of all teams today). Wilyer Abreu will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Wilyer Abreu has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .390.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Wilyer Abreu has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of San Francisco (#3-worst of all teams today). Wilyer Abreu will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Wilyer Abreu has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .390.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Ceddanne Rafaela will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Ceddanne Rafaela will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Mike Yastrzemski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josh Winckowski in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Mike Yastrzemski tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Josh Winckowski.

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Mike Yastrzemski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josh Winckowski in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Mike Yastrzemski tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Josh Winckowski.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Tyler O'Neill will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Tyler O'Neill will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Enmanuel Valdez's true offensive ability to be a .282, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .093 difference between that figure and his actual .189 wOBA. Enmanuel Valdez's 10.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 76th percentile since the start of last season. Enmanuel Valdez is in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.8% rate since the start of last season).

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Enmanuel Valdez's true offensive ability to be a .282, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .093 difference between that figure and his actual .189 wOBA. Enmanuel Valdez's 10.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 76th percentile since the start of last season. Enmanuel Valdez is in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.8% rate since the start of last season).

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Wade Jr.
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Josh Winckowski throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an edge in today's game. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 10th-strongest among all the teams today.

LaMonte Wade Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Josh Winckowski throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an edge in today's game. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 10th-strongest among all the teams today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast