San Francisco @ Boston Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Nick Ahmed hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 10th-strongest among all the teams today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) suggests that Nick Ahmed has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .222 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Michael Conforto is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Bobby Dalbec will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Harrison in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 11th-best infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Patrick Bailey pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 10th-strongest among all the teams today.

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Wilmer Flores pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Wilmer Flores tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Josh Winckowski.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Thairo Estrada pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 10th-strongest among all the teams today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Thairo Estrada has been lucky this year. His .279 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .263.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jorge Soler pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Matt Chapman tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Josh Winckowski.

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Wilyer Abreu has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of San Francisco (#3-worst of all teams today). Wilyer Abreu will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Wilyer Abreu has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .390.

Garrett Cooper's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Garrett Cooper will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Harrison in today's game. Garrett Cooper has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Ceddanne Rafaela will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Mike Yastrzemski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josh Winckowski in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Mike Yastrzemski tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Josh Winckowski.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Tyler O'Neill will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Enmanuel Valdez's true offensive ability to be a .282, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .093 difference between that figure and his actual .189 wOBA. Enmanuel Valdez's 10.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 76th percentile since the start of last season. Enmanuel Valdez is in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.8% rate since the start of last season).

LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Josh Winckowski throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an edge in today's game. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 10th-strongest among all the teams today.