Chicago @ New York Picks & Props

Hitting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, Omar Narvaez will have the upper hand in today's game. Omar Narvaez is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game considering none of the available options for the Chicago Cubs share his handedness. Omar Narvaez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Omar Narvaez will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Omar Narvaez has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .249 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .305.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Nico Hoerner will have an advantage today. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Patrick Wisdom is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Patrick Wisdom will have the upper hand in today's game. Patrick Wisdom pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Patrick Wisdom's 19.4% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an advantage in today's matchup. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game. With a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Pete Alonso finds himself in the 76th percentile for offensive skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Madrigal in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Nick Madrigal will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.289) suggests that Nick Madrigal has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .257 actual batting average.

The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Miguel Amaya will have the upper hand in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) may lead us to conclude that Miguel Amaya has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .298 actual wOBA. Miguel Amaya's 18.6° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the majors: 86th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. With a .346 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ian Happ finds himself in the 79th percentile for offensive skills.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Tauchman stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Mike Tauchman has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. In terms of plate discipline, Mike Tauchman's skill is quite good, sporting a 1.52 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 90th percentile.

Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage today. Tyrone Taylor's 17.8° launch angle (a reliable metric to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the game: 85th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Christopher Morel will have an advantage in today's matchup. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Jeff McNeil's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeff McNeil has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage against Javier Assad today. The Chicago Cubs don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil is certain to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Starling Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Starling Marte hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.431) provides evidence that Starling Marte has suffered from bad luck this year with his .333 actual wOBA.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo is certain to hold the advantage against every reliever all game as none of the available options for the Chicago Cubs share his handedness. Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Harrison Bader hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Harrison Bader will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Hitting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, D.J. Stewart will have the upper hand in today's game. D.J. Stewart is certain to hold the advantage against every reliever all game as none of the available options for the Chicago Cubs share his handedness. D.J. Stewart will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Since the start of last season, D.J. Stewart's 12.5% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Hitting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Brett Baty is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game. Brett Baty has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's game. Francisco Lindor has been unlucky this year, putting up a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .056 gap.

The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Alexander Canario will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Alexander Canario ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (66.7% rate since the start of last season).