Cincinnati @ San Diego Picks & Props

Among all major league parks, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Luke Maile and his 19.5° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 89th percentile, among the highest in baseball since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's game. Manny Machado will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Jake Fraley is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge today. Jake Fraley has posted a .348 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jake Fraley's 16.3° launch angle (an advanced standard to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 79th percentile. By putting up a 1.91 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jake Fraley has shown strong plate discipline, checking in at the 77th percentile.

Among all major league parks, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Kyle Higashioka will have the handedness advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's matchup. Kyle Higashioka will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Kyle Higashioka's 11.1% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers. Kyle Higashioka's 94-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to study power) is in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Jake Cronenworth hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jake Cronenworth will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jake Cronenworth has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .236 figure is a good deal lower than his .268 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 1.94 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jake Cronenworth has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 75th percentile.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 7th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Jonathan India has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .243 rate is deflated compared to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jonathan India has compiled a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Ha-seong Kim will have an edge in today's matchup. Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Ha-seong Kim will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .311 mark is considerably lower than his .350 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. When it comes to plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's skill is quite impressive, posting a 1.55 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 88th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Jose Azocar will have an edge today. Jose Azocar will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Azocar has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .286 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316.

Among all major league parks, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Eguy Rosario will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Eguy Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Eguy Rosario has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .380.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Luis Campusano and his 19.3% rank in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Christian Encarnacion-Strand hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Despite posting a .230 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Encarnacion-Strand has had bad variance on his side given the .083 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has posted a .334 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Nick Lodolo. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage today. Jurickson Profar has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 25.68 ft/sec to 26.57 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Matt Waldron in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Elly De La Cruz has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 119.2 mph (an advanced standard to assess power), grading out in the 99th percentile.

Despite posting a .259 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jeimer Candelario has suffered from bad luck given the .052 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311. Jeimer Candelario grades out in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (17.8% rate since the start of last season).

Will Benson is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Will Benson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Waldron in today's game. Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Will Benson's 94.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 84th percentile since the start of last season. Will Benson is in the 83rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.3% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Tyler Stephenson's 94.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 78th percentile since the start of last season. Tyler Stephenson grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48.2% rate since the start of last season).

Among all major league parks, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Nick Martini will have the handedness advantage against Matt Waldron today. Using Statcast data, Nick Martini ranks in the 76th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .335.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Spencer Steer has been hot lately, hitting his way to a .353 wOBA over the past two weeks. Spencer Steer grades out in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.5% rate since the start of last season).