Texas @ Seattle props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this game forecasts the lowest temperature of the day at 55°. Nathan Eovaldi will hold the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez today. Julio Rodriguez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.7-mph dropping to 79.7-mph in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jarred Kelenic will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jarred Kelenic's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 31.1% to 52.9%.

Evan Carter's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. In the last week, Evan Carter's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.1% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Mitch Garver is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.3°, Mitch Garver has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.8° figure in the last two weeks.

Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today. Josh Rojas has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .282 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Josh Rojas has been unlucky given the .023 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.

Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today's matchup. Mike Ford pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Mike Ford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Mike Ford has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last year's 88.8-mph EV. Based on Statcast metrics, Mike Ford grades out in the 83rd percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .347.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today. Eugenio Suarez has been unlucky this year, posting a .314 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .025 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Checking in at the 92nd percentile, Josh Jung sports a .347 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Woo today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Ty France's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 94.2-mph in recent games. There has been a significant improvement in Ty France's launch angle from last year's 9.7° to 13° this year.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Cal Raleigh will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.2-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 93.8-mph.