Baltimore @ Houston Picks & Props

Minute Maid Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best among all the teams playing today. Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Martin Maldonado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Martin Maldonado will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Martin Maldonado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.8-mph in recent games. Martin Maldonado's launch angle this year (17.7°) is significantly better than his 14.1° angle last year.

When estimating his batting average skill, Yordan Alvarez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Minute Maid Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Bradish today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Minute Maid Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Heston Kjerstad will have the handedness advantage over Cristian Javier in today's matchup. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Heston Kjerstad stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Bradish today. Kyle Tucker is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#3-worst of the day).

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jose Abreu ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Abreu is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jose Abreu will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jose Abreu has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.3% seasonal rate to 20% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Cedric Mullins II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristian Javier in today's game. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins II has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Minute Maid Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristian Javier today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adam Frazier stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Chas McCormick's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Chas McCormick will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Chas McCormick's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (21.7°) is significantly higher than his 18.6° mark last season. Chas McCormick's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 46.9% on the season to 72.7% in the last 7 days.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Bats such as Ramon Urias with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cristian Javier who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Ramon Urias has recorded a .353 BABIP this year, placing in the 93rd percentile.

Jorge Mateo has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Mauricio Dubon has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.