Milwaukee @ St. Louis Picks & Props

This year, Alec Burleson has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 17% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound. Among all stadiums, Busch Stadium's right field fences are the 2nd-deepest. Out of every team today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers. In the past week, Alec Burleson's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 92.9 mph to 83.2 mph. In the past week's worth of games, Alec Burleson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.9%.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Willy Adames will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rom in today's matchup. Willy Adames's launch angle in recent games (23.3° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 18.4° seasonal angle.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. The switch-hitting Victor Caratini will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Drew Rom. Victor Caratini hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Victor Caratini has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph mark.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Masyn Winn has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 93.2-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 90-mph. Masyn Winn has been unlucky this year, notching a .207 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .282 — a .075 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Paul Goldschmidt's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.1% up to 45.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. When it comes to plate discipline, Sal Frelick's ability is quite strong, posting a 1.15 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 95th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage today.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage today.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Andruw Monasterio will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rom today. Over the last week, Andruw Monasterio's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.1% up to 22.2%. Andruw Monasterio has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.7-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph average.