Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 10, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
DET
@
KC
Sun, May 10 • 7:20 PM ET
DET (+110)
Noah Cameron has an 6.32 expected ERA for a reason. The biggest reason is that he’s survived pretty much exclusively on his fastball, with several underlying metrics screaming that he’s overperforming even his already bad ERA. Given these factors, Detroit should punish him.
o8.0 (-118)
I projected this total at 9.4, would play it to 9, and I’m making this my fourth two-unit play of the year. Hanifee is likely an opener for a presumed bullpen game, but he’s already shown this season that he can go multiple innings. Either way, he’ll eventually turn things into a bullpen that isn’t the most rested. Circling back to Cameron, his pitching run value ranks in the 5th percentile, and his breaking ball sits in the 2nd.
MIL
@
STL
Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
u8.0 (-120)
If Brandon Sproat can hold his own early, the Brewers will turn to an excellent bullpen that ranks fifth in xFIP and tied for third in homers allowed per nine innings.
Colder weather and Andre Pallante’s high ground-ball rate (50%) should allow the Cardinals to limit the long ball. That’ll make it difficult to score runs in bulk, helping keep this game Under the total.
MIL (-110)
Brandon Sproat’s xFIP and SIERA are two full runs less than his ERA, suggesting he hasn’t pitched as poorly as it appears on the surface.
Andre Pallante has posted some concerning numbers against lefties (47.2% hard-hit rate, 13.2% barrel rate), and the Brewers have plenty of good ones in their lineup. This mismatch favors the visitors, and we'll take the Brewers on the ML.
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