Detroit @ Los Angeles Picks & Props
DET vs LAD Picks
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DET vs LAD Consensus Picks
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Zack Short Total Hits Props • Detroit
Zack Short hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Despite posting a .289 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Zack Short has suffered from bad luck given the .040 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Zack Short ranks in the 94th percentile with a 21.2° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in MLB.
Tyler Nevin Total Hits Props • Detroit
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Nevin in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Tyler Nevin has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph. In the last two weeks, Tyler Nevin's 58.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.5%. Despite posting a .260 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyler Nevin has been unlucky given the .067 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327. Tyler Nevin has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 2.34 K/BB rate.
Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game. Miguel Rojas has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph average. In terms of his batting average, Miguel Rojas has had some very poor luck this year. His .236 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .288.
James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
James Outman will have the handedness advantage against Miguel Diaz today. The Detroit Tigers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Outman can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. James Outman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. James Outman has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.2% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days.
Miguel Cabrera Total Hits Props • Detroit
Miguel Cabrera has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Max Muncy is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Max Muncy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Diaz in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Muncy can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.
Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jason Heyward in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jason Heyward will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Diaz today. The Detroit Tigers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jason Heyward can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Jason Heyward will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
DET vs LAD Trends
Detroit Trends
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.60 Units / 29% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 42 away games (+13.10 Units / 28% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 72 away games (+11.92 Units / 15% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 away games (+10.49 Units / 21% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 games (+10.05 Units / 15% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 63 away games (-17.00 Units / -23% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only hit the Team Total Over in 73 of their last 150 games (-16.02 Units / -9% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 63 games (-16.00 Units / -23% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 108 games (-8.70 Units / -6% ROI)
Los Angeles Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 123 games (+28.80 Units / 19% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 142 games (+25.85 Units / 17% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 64 games (+19.20 Units / 18% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 66 games at home (+7.99 Units / 10% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.78 Units / 24% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 141 games (-38.95 Units / -25% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 66 games at home (-19.15 Units / -25% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 22 games (-8.50 Units / -32% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 49 games at home (-7.77 Units / -9% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 49 games at home (-6.19 Units / -9% ROI)
DET vs LAD Top User Picks
More PicksDetroit Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | salgundy | 2-8-0 | +20490 |
| 2 | PaPe454 | 8-2-0 | +19591 |
| 3 | WiNNipeg1973 | 6-4-0 | +18000 |
| 4 | vlkvlk2012 | 6-4-0 | +16650 |
| 5 | redwingfanattic | 4-6-0 | +16615 |
| 6 | unbuckle | 7-3-0 | +16170 |
| 7 | greekbanker | 1-9-0 | +15215 |
| 8 | jakringle | 6-4-0 | +15215 |
| 9 | Brayy_Wyatt | 4-6-0 | +15125 |
| 10 | DenverFlash | 7-3-0 | +15069 |
| All Tigers Money Leaders | |||
LA Dodgers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 6-4-0 | +19490 |
| 2 | mikers | 9-1-0 | +18305 |
| 3 | Alexandr1966 | 4-6-0 | +15315 |
| 4 | OMREBEL02 | 2-8-0 | +15065 |
| 5 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 6 | cjrissgoodin | 8-2-0 | +14535 |
| 7 | glen2003 | 6-4-0 | +14475 |
| 8 | lusvegasluva | 3-7-0 | +14310 |
| 9 | BeeRAD | 5-5-0 | +13525 |
| 10 | Sinthetix | 8-2-0 | +12665 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||