Dodger Stadium
Freddie Freeman has been lucky this year, posting a .417 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .380 — a .037 deviation.
Zack Short hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Despite posting a .289 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Zack Short has suffered from bad luck given the .040 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Zack Short ranks in the 94th percentile with a 21.2° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in MLB.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Nevin in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Tyler Nevin has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph. In the last two weeks, Tyler Nevin's 58.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.5%. Despite posting a .260 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyler Nevin has been unlucky given the .067 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327. Tyler Nevin has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 2.34 K/BB rate.
The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game. Miguel Rojas has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph average. In terms of his batting average, Miguel Rojas has had some very poor luck this year. His .236 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .288.
James Outman will have the handedness advantage against Miguel Diaz today. The Detroit Tigers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Outman can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. James Outman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. James Outman has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.2% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days.
Miguel Cabrera has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. J.D. Martinez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. J.D. Martinez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93-mph average to last year's 89.1-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Max Muncy is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Max Muncy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Diaz in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Muncy can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jason Heyward in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jason Heyward will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Diaz today. The Detroit Tigers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jason Heyward can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Jason Heyward will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
