MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 18, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Mon, May 18 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ryan Vilade logo
Ryan Vilade u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Vilade in the 25th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Ryan Vilade hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ryan Vilade has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .303 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .277.. Posting a .187 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ryan Vilade grades out in the 16th percentile.. Ryan Vilade has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His -5° angle is among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season (2nd percentile).
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Pete Alonso will have the handedness advantage against Shane McClanahan today.. Pete Alonso has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Mon, May 18 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson u0.5 Total Hits (+189)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching of all games on the slate.. Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Despite posting a .398 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Olson has experienced some positive variance given the .048 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .350.
Total Bases
Dominic Smith logo
Dominic Smith u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dominic Smith is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. This year, Dominic Smith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #28 stadium in the majors for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching of all games on the slate.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Mon, May 18 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+127)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest weather of the day at 83°.. Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest weather of the day at 83°.. Spencer Torkelson will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Mon, May 18 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Cincinnati Reds logo Philadelphia Phillies logo o9.5 (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

I'm a believer in Nick Lodolo, but the Reds lefty has looked very shaky as he's returned from a blister that sidelined him into May. Phillies rookie Andrew Painter may also have a bright future, but a bout of homer-itis has hampered his debut campaign to the tune of a 6.21 ERA. Add in Cincinnati's 4.89 bullpen ERA and we've got a prime recipe for an Over, even at an inflated total.

Total Hits
Will Benson logo
Will Benson u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 20th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. This year, Will Benson has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 48% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which often leads to less offense.. Will Benson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. With a .287 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Will Benson grades out in the 19th percentile.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Mon, May 18 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Luis Torrens logo
Luis Torrens u0.5 Total Hits (+183)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Luis Torrens is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.. 19% of the time that Luis Torrens has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Luis Torrens will have a tough matchup today.. Luis Torrens will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.3
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Nationals Park has the 10th-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 92°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.6-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ New York Yankees logo NYY Mon, May 18 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #8 stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has strong power (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (27.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Patrick Corbin is a pitch-to-contact type (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr..
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. The #8 stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Trent Grisham will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Mon, May 18 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Trevor Larnach logo
Trevor Larnach u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Among all major league stadiums, Target Field's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-deepest.. Trevor Larnach has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Trevor Larnach's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 86.5-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 83.8-mph in the past two weeks.. Despite posting a .355 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trevor Larnach has been lucky given the .034 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Royce Lewis will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Despite posting a .253 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Royce Lewis has suffered from bad luck given the .054 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Mon, May 18 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Michael Conforto logo
Michael Conforto u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Michael Conforto is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.. 29% of the time that Michael Conforto has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. Among every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.. By putting up a .223 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Michael Conforto is ranked in the 17th percentile.
Total Hits
Blake Perkins logo
Blake Perkins u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Perkins in the 21st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Blake Perkins is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.. Blake Perkins will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. There has been a decrease in Blake Perkins's average exit velocity this season, from 89.1 mph last year to 85.5 mph now
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Mon, May 18 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 9th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Sonny Gray will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez in today's game.. In today's game, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.2% rate (87th percentile).. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the best among all the teams on the slate today.. Salvador Perez has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 14.6% rate last season has dropped off to 9.1% this season.
Total Bases
Jarren Duran logo
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.11
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jarren Duran ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense.. This contest is forecasted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's matchup.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Mon, May 18 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Sam Haggerty logo
Sam Haggerty u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Sam Haggerty is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this game expects the lowest temperature of all games today at 39°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Among every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.. Sam Haggerty will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.
Total Hits
Evan Carter logo
Evan Carter u0.5 Total Hits (+187)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this game expects the lowest temperature of all games today at 39°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Jose Quintana will have the handedness advantage against Evan Carter in today's matchup.. Among every team today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Evan Carter in today's matchup.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Mon, May 18 • 9:38 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Athletics Athletics logo ATH (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

The Angels are in freefall (what else is new?), and the A's have the offense to handle Walbert Urena. Shea Langeliers and Nick Kurtz are red hot, and that really can't be said about anyone on Los Angeles right now. 

Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.04
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In MLB, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Extreme flyball batters like Shea Langeliers tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Walbert Urena.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Diego Padres logo SD Mon, May 18 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo San Diego Padres logo u7.5 (-101)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

It's a low total, but that's what happens with Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Michael King toeing the rubber. Both teams have played consistently to the Under this season, and even if L.A.'s lineup is starting to show signs of life, I'd like to see results against teams other than the Angels.

Total Bases
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Tucker in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Petco Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage over Michael King in today's game.. The San Diego Padres outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams playing today.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Mon, May 18 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Munetaka Murakami projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Munetaka Murakami is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. In the league, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Munetaka Murakami will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Munetaka Murakami may have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Colson Montgomery will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo today... and the cherry on top, Woo has a large platoon split.. Colson Montgomery may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Mon, May 18 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.24
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ketel Marte ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Chase Field grades out as the #5 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Robbie Ray.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.
Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Chase Field grades out as the #5 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Matt Chapman has been unlucky this year, putting up a .266 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .063 discrepancy.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 2 Computer Picks
Total
Milwaukee Brewers logo St. Louis Cardinals logo u8.0 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

If Brandon Sproat can hold his own early, the Brewers will turn to an excellent bullpen that ranks fifth in xFIP and tied for third in homers allowed per nine innings.

Colder weather and Andre Pallante’s high ground-ball rate (50%) should allow the Cardinals to limit the long ball. That’ll make it difficult to score runs in bulk, helping keep this game Under the total.

Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (-110)
Pick made: 12 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Brandon Sproat’s xFIP and SIERA are two full runs less than his ERA, suggesting he hasn’t pitched as poorly as it appears on the surface.

Andre Pallante has posted some concerning numbers against lefties (47.2% hard-hit rate, 13.2% barrel rate), and the Brewers have plenty of good ones in their lineup. This mismatch favors the visitors, and we'll take the Brewers on the ML.

View 4 Picks

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