Final Apr 30
STL 6 +124 o9.0
CIN 0 -135 u9.0
Final Apr 30
DET 7 +105 o8.0
HOU 4 -114 u8.0
Final Apr 30
ATL 1 -253 o10.0
COL 2 +227 u10.0
Final Apr 30
MIA 7 +269 o10.0
LAD 12 -304 u10.0
Final Apr 30
LAA 3 +123 o8.0
SEA 9 -134 u8.0
Final Apr 30
SF 3 +121 o7.0
SD 5 -131 u7.0
Final Apr 30
MIN 2 -102 o7.0
CLE 4 -106 u7.0
Final Apr 30
NYY 4 +110 o9.5
BAL 5 -119 u9.5
Final Apr 30
CHC 3 -169 o9.0
PIT 4 +155 u9.0
Final Apr 30
STL 9 -102 o9.5
CIN 1 -106 u9.5
Final Apr 30
WAS 2 +223 o8.0
PHI 7 -249 u8.0
Final Apr 30
KC 3 +142 o7.5
TB 0 -155 u7.5
Final (10) Apr 30
BOS 6 -101 o9.5
TOR 7 -108 u9.5
Final Apr 30
AZ 4 -107 o8.5
NYM 3 -101 u8.5
Final Apr 30
MIL 6 -145 o7.5
CHW 4 +133 u7.5
Final Apr 30
ATH 7 +131 o8.5
TEX 1 -142 u8.5
MASN, NESN

Baltimore @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+110
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+110
Projection Rating

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan O'Hearn today.

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan O'Hearn today.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+140
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage over Grayson Rodriguez in today's game. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage over Grayson Rodriguez in today's game. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Aaron Hicks Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Hicks
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Aaron Hicks pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Aaron Hicks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Aaron Hicks pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Santander
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-280
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-280
Projection Rating

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Anthony Santander generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Anthony Santander generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Ramon Urias Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Urias
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Ramon Urias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

G. Henderson
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's game.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's game.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-256
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-256
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Alex Verdugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Alex Verdugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Adam Duvall pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Adam Duvall will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate today at 88%. Adam Duvall pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Adam Duvall will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.04
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+185
Under
-165
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
1.04
Best Odds
Over
+185
Under
-165

Adley Rutschman has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.86
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-145
Under
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.86
Best Odds
Over
-145
Under
+110

Wilyer Abreu has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Story
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.74
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-200
Under
+150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.74
Best Odds
Over
-200
Under
+150

Trevor Story has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.76
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-160
Under
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.76
Best Odds
Over
-160
Under
+120

Enmanuel Valdez has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast