BAL +107 o9.5
BOS -116 u9.5
CHC -109 o8.5
CIN +101 u8.5
MIL +109 o7.0
PIT -118 u7.0
SF -100 o8.0
WAS -108 u8.0
TOR +124 o9.0
TB -134 u9.0
BAL +115 o9.5
BOS -135 u9.5
CLE +106 o8.5
DET -115 u8.5
LAD -108 o8.5
NYM -100 u8.5
SD +159 o7.5
ATL -174 u7.5
TEX -182 o8.0
CHW +167 u8.0
KC +168 o8.0
MIN -184 u8.0
SEA +115 o8.5
HOU -125 u8.5
AZ -127 o8.5
STL +117 u8.5
NYY -271 o11.5
COL +242 u11.5
MIA +136 o8.0
LAA -148 u8.0
PHI -190 o9.5
ATH +173 u9.5
MASN, MLBN, Bally Sports Network

Miami @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami

Josh Bell
J. Bell
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park ranks as the #25 ballpark in the league for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 38%. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Bell in today's matchup. Checking in at the 24th percentile, Josh Bell has posted a .280 BABIP this year.

Josh Bell

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Nationals Park ranks as the #25 ballpark in the league for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 38%. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Bell in today's matchup. Checking in at the 24th percentile, Josh Bell has posted a .280 BABIP this year.

Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Miami

Garrett Hampson
G. Hampson
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Garrett Hampson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Garrett Hampson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 42.5% to 52.1%. Garrett Hampson has compiled a .278 batting average this year, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Garrett Hampson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Garrett Hampson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Garrett Hampson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 42.5% to 52.1%. Garrett Hampson has compiled a .278 batting average this year, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Miami

Jacob Stallings
J. Stallings
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jacob Stallings has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. When it comes to plate discipline, Jacob Stallings's skill is quite strong, putting up a 2.04 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 78th percentile.

Jacob Stallings

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jacob Stallings has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. When it comes to plate discipline, Jacob Stallings's skill is quite strong, putting up a 2.04 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 78th percentile.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

Jacob Young
J. Young
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Jacob Young will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Jacob Young will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

Joey Meneses
J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 6th-worst park in MLB for right-handed base hits. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 38%. Johnny Cueto will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Meneses in today's game. Joey Meneses has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 5.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks. Joey Meneses's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 83.3-mph over the last 14 days.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 6th-worst park in MLB for right-handed base hits. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 38%. Johnny Cueto will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Meneses in today's game. Joey Meneses has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 5.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks. Joey Meneses's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 83.3-mph over the last 14 days.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park ranks as the #25 ballpark in the league for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 38%. CJ Abrams has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 7 days. Over the last week, CJ Abrams's 4.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.9%. In terms of plate discipline, CJ Abrams's ability is quite bad, posting a 4.94 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 8th percentile.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Nationals Park ranks as the #25 ballpark in the league for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 38%. CJ Abrams has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 7 days. Over the last week, CJ Abrams's 4.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.9%. In terms of plate discipline, CJ Abrams's ability is quite bad, posting a 4.94 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 8th percentile.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

Bryan De La Cruz
B. De La Cruz
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 6th-worst park in MLB for right-handed base hits. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 38%. Trevor Williams will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan De La Cruz in today's matchup. Bryan De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 6th-worst park in MLB for right-handed base hits. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 38%. Trevor Williams will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan De La Cruz in today's matchup. Bryan De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington

Jake Alu
J. Alu
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums. Jake Alu will hold the platoon advantage over Johnny Cueto in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Alu will hold that advantage in today's game. Jake Alu has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 87.6-mph mark.

Jake Alu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums. Jake Alu will hold the platoon advantage over Johnny Cueto in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Alu will hold that advantage in today's game. Jake Alu has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 87.6-mph mark.

Carter Kieboom Total Hits Props • Washington

Carter Kieboom
C. Kieboom
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Carter Kieboom is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Carter Kieboom will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Carter Kieboom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Carter Kieboom is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Carter Kieboom will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

Riley Adams
R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage today. Riley Adams has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 92.8-mph. Sporting a .351 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Riley Adams has performed in the 83rd percentile. Riley Adams has recorded a .269 batting average this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage today. Riley Adams has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 92.8-mph. Sporting a .351 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Riley Adams has performed in the 83rd percentile. Riley Adams has recorded a .269 batting average this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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