Miami @ Washington Picks & Props
MIA vs WAS Picks
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MIA vs WAS Consensus Picks
MIA vs WAS Props
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami
Nationals Park ranks as the #25 ballpark in the league for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 38%. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Bell in today's matchup. Checking in at the 24th percentile, Josh Bell has posted a .280 BABIP this year.
Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Miami
Jacob Stallings has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. When it comes to plate discipline, Jacob Stallings's skill is quite strong, putting up a 2.04 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 78th percentile.
Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington
Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Jacob Young will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 6th-worst park in MLB for right-handed base hits. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 38%. Johnny Cueto will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Meneses in today's game. Joey Meneses has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 5.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks. Joey Meneses's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 83.3-mph over the last 14 days.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 6th-worst park in MLB for right-handed base hits. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 38%. Trevor Williams will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan De La Cruz in today's matchup. Bryan De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Garrett Hampson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Garrett Hampson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 42.5% to 52.1%. Garrett Hampson has compiled a .278 batting average this year, ranking in the 86th percentile.
Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington
Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums. Jake Alu will hold the platoon advantage over Johnny Cueto in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Alu will hold that advantage in today's game. Jake Alu has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 87.6-mph mark.
Carter Kieboom Total Hits Props • Washington
Carter Kieboom is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Carter Kieboom will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington
Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage today. Riley Adams has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 92.8-mph. Sporting a .351 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Riley Adams has performed in the 83rd percentile. Riley Adams has recorded a .269 batting average this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.
MIA vs WAS Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games (+8.58 Units / 13% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.67 Units / 43% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.40 Units / 19% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 134 games (-31.20 Units / -18% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 63 of their last 134 games (-19.97 Units / -12% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 14 games (-7.95 Units / -43% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 11 games (-7.85 Units / -65% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 10 games (-5.70 Units / -46% ROI)
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 56% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 129 games (+11.15 Units / 7% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.79 Units / 51% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 36 games (-9.57 Units / -22% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 57 games at home (-6.10 Units / -10% ROI)
MIA vs WAS Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||