San Diego @ St. Louis props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Xander Bogaerts will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Thompson today. In the last week's worth of games, Xander Bogaerts's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 23.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Manny Machado will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Thompson in today's matchup. Manny Machado has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.3% seasonal rate to 19.4% in the last 14 days.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 0%. In the last 7 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.6%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Willson Contreras will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Willson Contreras has experienced some negative variance this year. His .251 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Masyn Winn has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, angling balls between 23° and 34° 26.1% of the time over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Trent Grisham's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (20.2°) is significantly better than his 15.8° mark last year. Trent Grisham's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 16.6% on the season to 35.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Trent Grisham has been unlucky this year, compiling a .303 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .031 deviation.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Paul Goldschmidt ranks as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 48.1% on the season to 58.6% in the past 14 days.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jose Azocar will have the handedness advantage against Zack Thompson today. Jose Azocar's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 11.1% to 15%. Jose Azocar's speed has improved this year. His 29.46 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 30.07 ft/sec now. Jose Azocar has recorded a .328 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

Alec Burleson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, Alec Burleson this year. His .242 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .286.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matthew Batten will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Thompson in today's game.

Taylor Motter has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Gary Sanchez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.