LIVE Top 3rd Apr 30
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Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee props

American Family Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 14.2% to 10.8%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.261) implies that William Contreras has experienced some positive variance this year with his .279 actual batting average.

William Contreras

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 14.2% to 10.8%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.261) implies that William Contreras has experienced some positive variance this year with his .279 actual batting average.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

C. Yelich
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Ortiz in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Christian Yelich is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Pittsburgh (#2-best of all teams today). Over the past 7 days, Christian Yelich's 5.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.1%.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Ortiz in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Christian Yelich is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Pittsburgh (#2-best of all teams today). Over the past 7 days, Christian Yelich's 5.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.1%.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Bryan Reynolds's launch angle in recent games (25.1° in the past 7 days) is a significant increase over his 12.3° seasonal angle.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Bryan Reynolds's launch angle in recent games (25.1° in the past 7 days) is a significant increase over his 12.3° seasonal angle.

Endy Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

E. Rodriguez
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Endy Rodriguez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Putting up a 93.6-mph average exit velocity in the last 14 days, Endy Rodriguez has been in great form lately. Endy Rodriguez has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well of late, compiling a 29.4° angle on such balls over the past two weeks.

Endy Rodriguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Endy Rodriguez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Putting up a 93.6-mph average exit velocity in the last 14 days, Endy Rodriguez has been in great form lately. Endy Rodriguez has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well of late, compiling a 29.4° angle on such balls over the past two weeks.

Liover Peguero Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

L. Peguero
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Liover Peguero is very toolsy, placing in the 92nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.13 ft/sec this year.

Liover Peguero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Liover Peguero is very toolsy, placing in the 92nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.13 ft/sec this year.

Alika Williams Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. Williams
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Alika Williams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Suwinski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jack Suwinski is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Jack Suwinski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes today. Jack Suwinski has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 12.3% rate last season to 18.7% this season.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jack Suwinski is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Jack Suwinski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes today. Jack Suwinski has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 12.3% rate last season to 18.7% this season.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
designated hitter DH • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Andrew McCutchen has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week's worth of games.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Andrew McCutchen has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week's worth of games.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Turang
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Brice Turang hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Brice Turang will hold that advantage today. Brice Turang has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 88.8-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 86.8-mph mark. Brice Turang's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 16% on the season to 35.7% in the last 7 days.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Brice Turang hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Brice Turang will hold that advantage today. Brice Turang has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 88.8-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 86.8-mph mark. Brice Turang's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 16% on the season to 35.7% in the last 7 days.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Adames
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Luis Ortiz will hold the platoon advantage over Willy Adames in today's game.

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Luis Ortiz will hold the platoon advantage over Willy Adames in today's game.

Brian Anderson Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Anderson
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Luis Ortiz will have the handedness advantage against Brian Anderson today. Extreme groundball bats like Brian Anderson generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter. Brian Anderson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Brian Anderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 10.5% to 16.8%.

Brian Anderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Luis Ortiz will have the handedness advantage against Brian Anderson today. Extreme groundball bats like Brian Anderson generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter. Brian Anderson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Brian Anderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 10.5% to 16.8%.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Henry Davis is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Henry Davis hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Henry Davis is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Henry Davis hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Victor Caratini Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

V. Caratini
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The switch-hitting Victor Caratini will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his worse side (0) today against Luis Ortiz Victor Caratini hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Victor Caratini tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter. Victor Caratini will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Victor Caratini

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The switch-hitting Victor Caratini will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his worse side (0) today against Luis Ortiz Victor Caratini hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Victor Caratini tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter. Victor Caratini will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Joey Wiemer Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Wiemer
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Luis Ortiz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Wiemer in today's game. Joey Wiemer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Joey Wiemer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the past week, Joey Wiemer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 16.7%.

Joey Wiemer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Luis Ortiz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Wiemer in today's game. Joey Wiemer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Joey Wiemer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the past week, Joey Wiemer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 16.7%.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

T. Taylor
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Tyrone Taylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (92% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Luis Ortiz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyrone Taylor in today's game. Tyrone Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Tyrone Taylor will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Tyrone Taylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (92% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Luis Ortiz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyrone Taylor in today's game. Tyrone Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Tyrone Taylor will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Andruw Monasterio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

A. Monasterio
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Luis Ortiz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andruw Monasterio in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage today. Andruw Monasterio has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 90.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.8-mph EV. Andruw Monasterio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 21.1% on the season to 31.3% over the last 7 days.

Andruw Monasterio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Luis Ortiz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andruw Monasterio in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage today. Andruw Monasterio has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 90.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.8-mph EV. Andruw Monasterio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 21.1% on the season to 31.3% over the last 7 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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