Houston @ New York Picks & Props

The #9 park in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. In MLB, Yankee Stadium's CF fences are the 5th-deepest. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 9th-worst stadium in the majors for righty batting average. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hunter Brown will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres in today's game. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, falling from 42.2% on the season to 26.1% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 9th-worst stadium in the majors for righty batting average. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Luis Severino will have the handedness advantage against Jose Altuve today. Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 98th percentile) and but may find it hard to clear the game's 7th-deepest LF fences today.

Billy McKinney is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Billy McKinney will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Billy McKinney has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Billy McKinney will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.210) provides evidence that Billy McKinney has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .183 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 9th-worst stadium in the majors for righty batting average. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Luis Severino will hold the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz in today's game. Yainer Diaz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-most humidity of all games today at 82%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage today.

The #9 park in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Kyle Tucker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and but may find it hard to clear the league's 5th-deepest CF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .303 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Giancarlo Stanton has had some very poor luck given the .057 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .360.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Chas McCormick ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chas McCormick has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Chas McCormick's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.5-mph in recent games. Chas McCormick's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (23.7°) is a considerable increase over his 18.6° angle last season. In the last two weeks, Chas McCormick has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 30.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 23.7°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, DJ LeMahieu has had some very poor luck this year. His .231 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.6°, Alex Bregman has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.9° angle over the last 14 days. When it comes to plate discipline, Alex Bregman's skill is quite impressive, putting up a 0.99 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 99th percentile.

Extreme flyball hitters like Anthony Volpe tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today. Anthony Volpe has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.2-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.5-mph figure. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 47.1% on the season to 53.3% over the past 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.255) implies that Anthony Volpe has suffered from bad luck this year with his .210 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. In the past week, Jose Abreu's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 23.1%. Over the last week, Jose Abreu's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.4-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph of late. Despite posting a .289 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Abreu has had some very poor luck given the .049 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .338.

Extreme flyball hitters like Kyle Higashioka generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Kyle Higashioka will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Kyle Higashioka's 11.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) ranks in the 78th percentile this year. Kyle Higashioka's 94.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 76th percentile this year. Kyle Higashioka is in the 76th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.9% rate this year).

Harrison Bader will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Harrison Bader's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 85.8-mph now compared to just 83.4-mph then. In the last 7 days, Harrison Bader's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.1%.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-most humidity of all games today at 82%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. There has been a significant improvement in Martin Maldonado's launch angle from last year's 14.1° to 17.3° this season. Martin Maldonado has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 22.31 ft/sec to 22.81 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Despite posting a .242 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Martin Maldonado given the .032 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .274.

Jeremy Pena's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeremy Pena has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 88.3-mph mark. When it comes to his batting average, Jeremy Pena has had bad variance on his side this year. His .243 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .271.

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Jake Bauers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's game. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Bauers has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Bauers's 97.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 94th percentile this year.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.