LIVE Top 7th May 1
STL 1 -114 o9.0
CIN 5 +105 u9.0
LIVE Top 9th May 1
AZ 4 +142 o8.5
NYM 2 -154 u8.5
LIVE Top 8th May 1
MIN 2 -121 o9.0
CLE 2 +112 u9.0
LIVE Bottom 7th May 1
MIL 0 -153 o9.0
CHW 4 +141 u9.0
LIVE Top 6th May 1
ATH 1 +113 o8.5
TEX 0 -122 u8.5
WAS +152 o9.5
PHI -166 u9.5
BOS -110 o8.5
TOR +102 u8.5
DET -123 o8.5
LAA +114 u8.5
COL +235 o7.0
SF -263 u7.0
Final May 1
CHC 8 +114 o8.0
PIT 3 -124 u8.0
Final May 1
KC 8 +146 o8.5
TB 2 -159 u8.5
MLBN, NBCSP, Bally Sports Network

Philadelphia @ Miami props

loanDepot park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Bryce Harper has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 7 days.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Bryce Harper has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 7 days.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill. The #8 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Trea Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest among every team playing today. Trea Turner has been unlucky this year, notching a .294 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .050 disparity.

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill. The #8 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Trea Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest among every team playing today. Trea Turner has been unlucky this year, notching a .294 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .050 disparity.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Johnny Cueto in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest among every team playing today.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Johnny Cueto in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest among every team playing today.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Chisholm Jr.
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-164
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-164
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Lorenzen in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Lorenzen in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #8 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest among every team playing today. Over the last week, Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 103-mph of late.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #8 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest among every team playing today. Over the last week, Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 103-mph of late.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Johnny Cueto in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest among every team playing today.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Johnny Cueto in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest among every team playing today.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Soler
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #8 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jorge Soler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jorge Soler has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 94.9-mph.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #8 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jorge Soler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jorge Soler has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 94.9-mph.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Sanchez
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. This season, Jesus Sanchez has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.1 mph compared to last year's 94.7 mph mark. Jesus Sanchez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .255 figure is a good deal lower than his .278 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. This season, Jesus Sanchez has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.1 mph compared to last year's 94.7 mph mark. Jesus Sanchez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .255 figure is a good deal lower than his .278 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Stallings
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The #8 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage in today's matchup. This season, Jacob Stallings has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.2 mph compared to last year's 88.3 mph mark.

Jacob Stallings

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #8 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage in today's matchup. This season, Jacob Stallings has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.2 mph compared to last year's 88.3 mph mark.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • Miami

L. Arraez
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Luis Arraez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will be challenged by the league's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 89-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 82.1-mph in the past week's worth of games. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Arraez's true offensive talent to be a .344, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .047 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .391 wOBA.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Luis Arraez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will be challenged by the league's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 89-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 82.1-mph in the past week's worth of games. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Arraez's true offensive talent to be a .344, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .047 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .391 wOBA.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Johnny Cueto in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest among every team playing today. In the last week's worth of games, Brandon Marsh's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 20%.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Johnny Cueto in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest among every team playing today. In the last week's worth of games, Brandon Marsh's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 20%.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

B. De La Cruz
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #8 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. Bryan De La Cruz will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Bryan De La Cruz has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8% seasonal rate to 13.6% over the past 14 days.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #8 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. Bryan De La Cruz will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Bryan De La Cruz has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8% seasonal rate to 13.6% over the past 14 days.

Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Wendle
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Joey Wendle's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Joey Wendle will have the handedness advantage over Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. Joey Wendle will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Last season, Joey Wendle had an average launch angle of 3.8° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 7°.

Joey Wendle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Joey Wendle's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Joey Wendle will have the handedness advantage over Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. Joey Wendle will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Last season, Joey Wendle had an average launch angle of 3.8° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 7°.

Jake Cave Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Cave
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage against Johnny Cueto in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest among every team playing today.

Jake Cave

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage against Johnny Cueto in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest among every team playing today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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