LIVE Top 7th May 1
WAS 4 +155 o10.0
PHI 2 -169 u10.0
LIVE Top 6th May 1
BOS 2 -110 o8.5
TOR 0 +102 u8.5
DET -138 o8.5
LAA +127 u8.5
COL +229 o7.5
SF -255 u7.5
Final May 1
CHC 8 +114 o8.0
PIT 3 -124 u8.0
Final May 1
STL 1 -114 o9.0
CIN 9 +105 u9.0
Final May 1
AZ 4 +142 o8.5
NYM 2 -154 u8.5
Final May 1
KC 8 +146 o8.5
TB 2 -159 u8.5
Final (10) May 1
MIN 3 -121 o9.0
CLE 4 +112 u9.0
Final May 1
MIL 0 -153 o9.0
CHW 8 +141 u9.0
Final May 1
ATH 3 +113 o8.5
TEX 0 -122 u8.5
RSN, NESN

Boston @ Seattle props

T-Mobile Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mike Ford Total Hits Props • Seattle

M. Ford
first base 1B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Mike Ford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Mike Ford will hold that advantage in today's game. Mike Ford has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 97.9-mph over the last week. Mike Ford has compiled a .323 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.

Mike Ford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Mike Ford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Mike Ford will hold that advantage in today's game. Mike Ford has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 97.9-mph over the last week. Mike Ford has compiled a .323 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Gilbert today. Alex Verdugo has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Gilbert today. Alex Verdugo has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Connor Wong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Grading out in the 82nd percentile, the hardest ball Connor Wong has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Connor Wong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Grading out in the 82nd percentile, the hardest ball Connor Wong has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Rodriguez
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Julio Rodriguez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Julio Rodriguez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.8% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past two weeks.

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Julio Rodriguez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Julio Rodriguez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.8% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past two weeks.

Dylan Moore Total Hits Props • Seattle

D. Moore
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Dylan Moore will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Dylan Moore

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Dylan Moore will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 17th-best batter in the league. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 17th-best batter in the league. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle

C. Raleigh
catcher C • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cal Raleigh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Cal Raleigh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cal Raleigh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Gilbert in today's game. Triston Casas pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Triston Casas has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 15% seasonal rate to 26.1% in the last two weeks. Triston Casas's launch angle recently (22.1° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 15.7° seasonal mark.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Gilbert in today's game. Triston Casas pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Triston Casas has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 15% seasonal rate to 26.1% in the last two weeks. Triston Casas's launch angle recently (22.1° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 15.7° seasonal mark.

Christian Arroyo Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Arroyo
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Christian Arroyo has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Despite posting a .279 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Arroyo has had bad variance on his side given the .026 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.

Christian Arroyo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Christian Arroyo has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Despite posting a .279 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Arroyo has had bad variance on his side given the .026 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.

Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • Seattle

T. Hernandez
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Teoscar Hernandez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 90.8-mph figure. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.341) provides evidence that Teoscar Hernandez has been unlucky this year with his .299 actual wOBA.

Teoscar Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Teoscar Hernandez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 90.8-mph figure. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.341) provides evidence that Teoscar Hernandez has been unlucky this year with his .299 actual wOBA.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Over the last week, Adam Duvall's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.9-mph recently. Last season, Adam Duvall had an average launch angle of 20.7° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 24.7°.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Over the last week, Adam Duvall's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.9-mph recently. Last season, Adam Duvall had an average launch angle of 20.7° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 24.7°.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Seattle

E. Suarez
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Eugenio Suarez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Eugenio Suarez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Tom Murphy Total Hits Props • Seattle

T. Murphy
catcher C • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Tom Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Tom Murphy will hold that advantage in today's game. Tom Murphy has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 17.2% seasonal rate to 27.8% in the last two weeks. In the past week, Tom Murphy's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.4-mph over the course of the season to 99.4-mph lately. Tom Murphy's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 23% on the season to 33.3% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Tom Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Tom Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Tom Murphy will hold that advantage in today's game. Tom Murphy has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 17.2% seasonal rate to 27.8% in the last two weeks. In the past week, Tom Murphy's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.4-mph over the course of the season to 99.4-mph lately. Tom Murphy's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 23% on the season to 33.3% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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