Boston @ Seattle Picks & Props

Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Mike Ford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Mike Ford will hold that advantage in today's game. Mike Ford has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 97.9-mph over the last week. Mike Ford has compiled a .323 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Connor Wong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Grading out in the 82nd percentile, the hardest ball Connor Wong has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Gilbert today. Alex Verdugo has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Julio Rodriguez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Julio Rodriguez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.8% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past two weeks.

Yu Chang has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 17th-best batter in the league. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cal Raleigh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Gilbert in today's game. Triston Casas pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Triston Casas has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 15% seasonal rate to 26.1% in the last two weeks. Triston Casas's launch angle recently (22.1° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 15.7° seasonal mark.

Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Dylan Moore will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Christian Arroyo has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Despite posting a .279 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Arroyo has had bad variance on his side given the .026 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.

Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Teoscar Hernandez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 90.8-mph figure. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.341) provides evidence that Teoscar Hernandez has been unlucky this year with his .299 actual wOBA.

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Over the last week, Adam Duvall's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.9-mph recently. Last season, Adam Duvall had an average launch angle of 20.7° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 24.7°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Eugenio Suarez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Tom Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Tom Murphy will hold that advantage in today's game. Tom Murphy has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 17.2% seasonal rate to 27.8% in the last two weeks. In the past week, Tom Murphy's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.4-mph over the course of the season to 99.4-mph lately. Tom Murphy's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 23% on the season to 33.3% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.