LIVE Top 4th Apr 30
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AT&T Sportsnet, SDPA

San Diego @ Colorado props

Coors Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luis Campusano Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Campusano
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-180
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-180
Projection Rating

Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Campusano in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Luis Campusano's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 90.2 mph to 81.2 mph. Luis Campusano's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (2.8° over the past 7 days) is considerably worse than his 13.6° seasonal figure. Luis Campusano's speed has fallen off this year. His 26.25 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.4 ft/sec now.

Luis Campusano

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Campusano in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Luis Campusano's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 90.2 mph to 81.2 mph. Luis Campusano's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (2.8° over the past 7 days) is considerably worse than his 13.6° seasonal figure. Luis Campusano's speed has fallen off this year. His 26.25 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.4 ft/sec now.

Gary Sanchez Total Hits Props • San Diego

G. Sanchez
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Gary Sanchez's BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gary Sanchez is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Gary Sanchez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

Gary Sanchez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Gary Sanchez's BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gary Sanchez is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Gary Sanchez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Tovar
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-164
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-164
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage over Ezequiel Tovar in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Ezequiel Tovar's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 90.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 83.6-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Utilizing Statcast data, Ezequiel Tovar grades out in the 18th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .299.

Ezequiel Tovar

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage over Ezequiel Tovar in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Ezequiel Tovar's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 90.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 83.6-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Utilizing Statcast data, Ezequiel Tovar grades out in the 18th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .299.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-152
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-152
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Manny Machado's launch angle lately (-5° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 15.5° seasonal angle. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 46.2% to 37.4%.

Manny Machado

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Manny Machado's launch angle lately (-5° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 15.5° seasonal angle. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 46.2% to 37.4%.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Trent Grisham's launch angle recently (37.5° in the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 19.7° seasonal figure. Last year, Trent Grisham had an average launch angle of 15.8° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 20.6°.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Trent Grisham's launch angle recently (37.5° in the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 19.7° seasonal figure. Last year, Trent Grisham had an average launch angle of 15.8° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 20.6°.

Harold Castro Total Hits Props • Colorado

H. Castro
left outfield LF • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-256
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-256
Projection Rating

Harold Castro is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup. This year, Harold Castro has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 26% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Harold Castro has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86-mph dropping to 82.9-mph in the past 14 days.

Harold Castro

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Harold Castro is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup. This year, Harold Castro has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 26% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Harold Castro has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86-mph dropping to 82.9-mph in the past 14 days.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-217
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-217
Projection Rating

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Austin Gomber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Cronenworth today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Cronenworth today.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Austin Gomber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Cronenworth today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Cronenworth today.

Elehuris Montero Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Montero
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in the game for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Elehuris Montero will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 78th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Elehuris Montero demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a core ability for achieving a high batting average.

Elehuris Montero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in the game for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Elehuris Montero will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 78th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Elehuris Montero demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a core ability for achieving a high batting average.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-189
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-189
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xander Bogaerts in today's game. Xander Bogaerts's launch angle this year (6.4°) is considerably worse than his 10.1° figure last year. Xander Bogaerts's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (5° in the past 7 days) is considerably lower than his 9.5° seasonal figure.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xander Bogaerts in today's game. Xander Bogaerts's launch angle this year (6.4°) is considerably worse than his 10.1° figure last year. Xander Bogaerts's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (5° in the past 7 days) is considerably lower than his 9.5° seasonal figure.

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Diaz
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Elias Diaz's BABIP ability is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Elias Diaz in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Elias Diaz has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week.

Elias Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Elias Diaz's BABIP ability is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Elias Diaz in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Elias Diaz has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week.

Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado

M. Toglia
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Michael Toglia will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last week, Michael Toglia's maximum exit velocity (a good indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 113.1-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball.

Michael Toglia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Michael Toglia will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last week, Michael Toglia's maximum exit velocity (a good indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 113.1-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado

N. Jones
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Nolan Jones is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Nolan Jones is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • Colorado

J. Profar
left outfield LF • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his worse side (0) today against Seth Lugo Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 16.4% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his worse side (0) today against Seth Lugo Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 16.4% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Soto
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-208
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-208
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Austin Gomber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Juan Soto in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Juan Soto in today's matchup. Juan Soto's launch angle this season (5.5°) is considerably lower than his 9.1° mark last season.

Juan Soto

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Austin Gomber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Juan Soto in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Juan Soto in today's matchup. Juan Soto's launch angle this season (5.5°) is considerably lower than his 9.1° mark last season.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Ryan McMahon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Ryan McMahon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today.

Matthew Batten Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Batten
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in the game for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Matthew Batten will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber in today's game. Matthew Batten is quite quick, grading out in the 96th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.53 ft/sec since the start of last season.

Matthew Batten

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in the game for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Matthew Batten will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber in today's game. Matthew Batten is quite quick, grading out in the 96th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.53 ft/sec since the start of last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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