Milwaukee @ Washington Picks & Props

The #3 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Christian Yelich has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 2.5% over the last two weeks.

Nationals Park ranks as the #27 venue in the league for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jake Irvin will have the handedness advantage against William Contreras in today's game. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for William Contreras today. From last season to this one, William Contreras's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 98.5 mph to 95.1 mph. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 14.2% to 11.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeimer Candelario in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 82°. Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage today.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 83°. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today. Posting a 1.72 K/BB rate this year, Keibert Ruiz has shown impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 83°. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 11th-worst among all the teams in action today. In the last 7 days, Joey Wiemer's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph of late.

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field fences in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 83°. Dominic Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's matchup. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field fences in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 83°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage in today's game. Ildemaro Vargas has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last season's 88.5-mph figure.

Sal Frelick's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field fences in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 83°. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's game.

CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field fences in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 83°. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's matchup. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field fences in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 83°. Luis Garcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's game. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luis Garcia can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willy Adames is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 83°. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 11th-worst among all the teams in action today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Willy Adames's true offensive skill to be a .344, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .047 disparity between that mark and his actual .297 wOBA.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 83°. Andruw Monasterio has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 11th-worst among all the teams in action today. Andruw Monasterio has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 91-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 88.8-mph. Over the last two weeks, Andruw Monasterio's 57.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 83°. Alex Call will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 16°, Alex Call has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 25.9° angle in the last two weeks. Alex Call has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .279 mark is quite a bit lower than his .307 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 83°. Lane Thomas will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Lane Thomas's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 38.8% to 44.7%.

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field fences in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 83°. Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 11th-worst among all the teams in action today. Brice Turang has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 86.7-mph mark.

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field fences in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 83°. Corey Dickerson will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's matchup. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Dickerson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Corey Dickerson will hold that advantage today.

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field fences in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 83°. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 11th-worst among all the teams in action today. Victor Caratini has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Joey Meneses is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 83°. Joey Meneses has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Joey Meneses will hold that advantage in today's matchup.