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Philadelphia @ Miami props

loanDepot park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • Miami

L. Arraez
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-182
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-182
Projection Rating

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. In today's game, Luis Arraez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.7% rate (98th percentile). Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 14th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Luis Arraez's average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 88.3-mph seasonal average has dropped to 85.4-mph over the past 7 days.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. In today's game, Luis Arraez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.7% rate (98th percentile). Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 14th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Luis Arraez's average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 88.3-mph seasonal average has dropped to 85.4-mph over the past 7 days.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's game. Kyle Schwarber's launch angle recently (25° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 18.1° seasonal mark.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's game. Kyle Schwarber's launch angle recently (25° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 18.1° seasonal mark.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Soler
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jorge Soler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jorge Soler's launch angle this season (17.6°) is a considerable increase over his 13.4° figure last year.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jorge Soler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jorge Soler's launch angle this season (17.6°) is a considerable increase over his 13.4° figure last year.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Alec Bohm's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Bohm is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In notching a .272 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Alec Bohm is positioned in the 75th percentile. Alec Bohm has put up a .286 batting average this year, placing in the 88th percentile.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Alec Bohm's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Bohm is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In notching a .272 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Alec Bohm is positioned in the 75th percentile. Alec Bohm has put up a .286 batting average this year, placing in the 88th percentile.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Trea Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Trea Turner's true offensive talent to be a .346, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .052 deviation between that figure and his actual .294 wOBA.

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Trea Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Trea Turner's true offensive talent to be a .346, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .052 deviation between that figure and his actual .294 wOBA.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Edward Cabrera today. Brandon Marsh has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last season's 89.2-mph figure. With a .358 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Brandon Marsh has performed in the 82nd percentile.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Edward Cabrera today. Brandon Marsh has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last season's 89.2-mph figure. With a .358 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Brandon Marsh has performed in the 82nd percentile.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has had bad variance on his side given the .064 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has had bad variance on his side given the .064 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

Jean Segura Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Segura
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jean Segura in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jean Segura hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Jean Segura will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jean Segura has been unlucky this year, posting a .254 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .064 discrepancy.

Jean Segura

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jean Segura in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jean Segura hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Jean Segura will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jean Segura has been unlucky this year, posting a .254 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .064 discrepancy.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Sanchez
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Jesus Sanchez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.2-mph over the course of the season to 105.2-mph of late.

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Jesus Sanchez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.2-mph over the course of the season to 105.2-mph of late.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

B. De La Cruz
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage today.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage today.

Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Wendle
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Joey Wendle will hold the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Wendle will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Joey Wendle has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 3.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past 7 days.

Joey Wendle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Joey Wendle will hold the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Wendle will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Joey Wendle has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 3.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past 7 days.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Edward Cabrera today. In the last week, Bryson Stott's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.5%.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Edward Cabrera today. In the last week, Bryson Stott's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.5%.

Garrett Cooper Total Hits Props • Miami

G. Cooper
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Garrett Cooper is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Garrett Cooper is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Garrett Cooper will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Garrett Cooper's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.8% up to 33.3%.

Garrett Cooper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Garrett Cooper is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Garrett Cooper is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Garrett Cooper will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Garrett Cooper's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.8% up to 33.3%.

Jake Cave Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Cave
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Jake Cave's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera today.

Jake Cave

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jake Cave's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera today.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Bryce Harper's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 104.6-mph of late.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Bryce Harper's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 104.6-mph of late.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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