Philadelphia @ Miami Picks & Props

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. In today's game, Luis Arraez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.7% rate (98th percentile). Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 14th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Luis Arraez's average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 88.3-mph seasonal average has dropped to 85.4-mph over the past 7 days.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Taijuan Walker will hold the platoon advantage against Bryan De La Cruz in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 14th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. With a 3.6 K/BB rate this year, Bryan De La Cruz has shown weak plate discipline, grading out in the 25th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's game. Kyle Schwarber's launch angle recently (25° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 18.1° seasonal mark.

Alec Bohm's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Bohm is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In notching a .272 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Alec Bohm is positioned in the 75th percentile. Alec Bohm has put up a .286 batting average this year, placing in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Trea Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Trea Turner's true offensive talent to be a .346, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .052 deviation between that figure and his actual .294 wOBA.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Edward Cabrera today. Brandon Marsh has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last season's 89.2-mph figure. With a .358 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Brandon Marsh has performed in the 82nd percentile.

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Jesus Sanchez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.2-mph over the course of the season to 105.2-mph of late.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jorge Soler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jorge Soler's launch angle this season (17.6°) is a considerable increase over his 13.4° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jean Segura in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jean Segura hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Jean Segura will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jean Segura has been unlucky this year, posting a .254 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .064 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Edward Cabrera today. In the last week, Bryson Stott's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.5%.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Garrett Cooper is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Garrett Cooper is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Garrett Cooper will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Garrett Cooper's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.8% up to 33.3%.

LoanDepot Park projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has had bad variance on his side given the .064 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

Jake Cave's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera today.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Bryce Harper's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 104.6-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Joey Wendle will hold the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Wendle will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Joey Wendle has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 3.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past 7 days.

Jacob Stallings has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Garrett Hampson has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jon Berti has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.