Minnesota @ Kansas City Picks & Props

56% of the time that Donovan Solano has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early. Donovan Solano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and and will be challenged by MLB's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the best among every team today. Donovan Solano will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Donovan Solano has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks.

Kenta Maeda will have the handedness advantage over Maikel Garcia in today's game. Maikel Garcia has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will be challenged by the game's deepest RF fences today. Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 93.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 85.6-mph over the past 7 days. Over the last week, Maikel Garcia's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 49%. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Maikel Garcia ranks in just the 7th percentile with a 5.3° launch angle, which is one of the lowest angles in the league.

Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest fences among all stadiums — generally bad for HRs. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the best among every team today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Carlos Correa in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Carlos Correa's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10% down to 0%. Carlos Correa's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 93.8-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 91.2-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters as the 11th-best hitter in the league when assessing his BABIP skill. The #7 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

The #7 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kenta Maeda today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. MJ Melendez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The #7 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Byron Buxton ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Ryan Yarbrough. In the last 7 days, Willi Castro's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.5% up to 18.2%.

The #7 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Wallner can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. In the past 7 days, Matt Wallner's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.2% up to 40%.

The #7 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nicky Lopez will have the handedness advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nicky Lopez has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Kyle Farmer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Farmer will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Yarbrough today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dairon Blanco in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Christian Vazquez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Yarbrough today. Christian Vazquez has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 3.2% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past 14 days.

Michael Massey is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #7 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage over Kenta Maeda in today's matchup.

Matt Duffy has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Edward Olivares has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Michael A. Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jorge Polanco has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.