Minnesota @ Kansas City Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Bailey Ober will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia in today's matchup. In today's matchup, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.8% rate (86th percentile). Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 93.5-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 84.2-mph in the last 7 days. Over the last week, Maikel Garcia's 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 49%.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Alex Kirilloff has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Today, Alex Kirilloff is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.6% rate (92nd percentile). Alex Kirilloff will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Alex Kirilloff has been lucky this year, posting a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .023 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters as the 13th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #7 field in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Drew Waters will hold that advantage in today's game.

Max Kepler's BABIP ability is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Max Kepler will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Over the last week, Max Kepler's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.7% down to 0%.

Dingers are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest in the league. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Jordan Lyles will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Correa today. Carlos Correa will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Compared to his seasonal mark of 11°, Carlos Correa has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.4°) over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Byron Buxton has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.7-mph.

The #7 field in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 89°. Nicky Lopez will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nicky Lopez has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The #7 field in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 89°. Joey Gallo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Lyles in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Gallo can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Edouard Julien is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #7 field in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

The #7 field in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Willi Castro has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week. Willi Castro has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.8-mph average to last year's 85.7-mph mark.

The #7 field in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The #7 field in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Jordan Lyles in today's game. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Wallner stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, MJ Melendez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #7 field in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Christian Vazquez has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 3.2% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the last two weeks. Christian Vazquez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.2-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 91-mph.

Edward Olivares's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Edward Olivares will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Duffy in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Extreme flyball batters like Matt Duffy usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Salvador Perez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Michael Massey is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #7 field in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Michael Massey will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's matchup.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jorge Polanco has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.