Milwaukee @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game. Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest LF dimensions in the league. Julio Teheran will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna today. Ranking in the 6th percentile, Marcell Ozuna has notched a .245 BABIP this year.

Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Christian Yelich tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Christian Yelich today.

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest LF dimensions in the league. Julio Teheran will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today's matchup.

Matt Olson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 18.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week. In the past week's worth of games, Matt Olson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%. Matt Olson has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .396 rate is considerably higher than his .372 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his bad side (0) today against Julio Teheran Over the last two weeks, Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 92.4 mph to 90 mph. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 38.8% on the season to 10% over the last week. In notching a .245 BABIP this year, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 6th percentile.

Bryce Elder will have the handedness advantage over William Contreras in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like William Contreras are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. William Contreras has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 8.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week. William Contreras's launch angle lately (-3.8° in the past 7 days) is significantly lower than his 3.6° seasonal figure.

The #9 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Joey Wiemer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The #9 field in baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

The #9 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. In the past two weeks, Andruw Monasterio's 54.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.6%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The #9 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°.

The #9 field in baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Victor Caratini hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

The #9 field in baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Teheran today.

The #9 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage today.

The #9 field in baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder today. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brice Turang stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Sean Murphy has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Abraham Toro has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 9 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.