Washington @ New York Picks & Props

16% of the time that Tommy Pham has started against a southpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. The #1 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Tommy Pham's 6.9° launch angle (an advanced metric to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in the game: 12th percentile.

The #1 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Patrick Corbin will hold the platoon advantage against Jeff McNeil in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Corbin's large platoon split. Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 88.1-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 82.3-mph over the last 14 days. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 16.7% to 9.7%.

The #1 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Luis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Luis Garcia has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 14 days. Luis Garcia has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 83.8-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The #1 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for CJ Abrams today. CJ Abrams's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 91.3-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 87.9-mph over the last 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates CJ Abrams's true offensive talent to be a .297, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .018 difference between that mark and his actual .315 wOBA.

The #1 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Patrick Corbin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Nimmo in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Corbin's large platoon split. In the past week's worth of games, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 0%. Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.3°, Brandon Nimmo has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.3°) in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The #1 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Francisco Lindor's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 94.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 85.6-mph in the last week's worth of games. Sporting a .252 BABIP this year, Francisco Lindor has performed in the 10th percentile.

The #1 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Carlos Carrasco will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Meneses today. Joey Meneses will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Joey Meneses has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph dropping to 86.1-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. This matchup is expected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Keibert Ruiz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Mets. By putting up a 1.72 K/BB rate this year, Keibert Ruiz has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. This matchup is expected to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Lane Thomas pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jeimer Candelario ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league. This matchup is expected to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Stone Garrett in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. This matchup is expected to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Stone Garrett pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

This matchup is expected to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's matchup. Dominic Smith has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league. This matchup is expected to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Alex Call has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.6% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the past 7 days.

Brett Baty's BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This matchup is expected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league. This matchup is expected to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Checking in at the 96th percentile, the hardest ball Riley Adams has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league. This matchup is expected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Corey Dickerson will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Carrasco in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Compared to last season, Corey Dickerson has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.1% to 15.6% this season.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This matchup is expected to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Francisco Alvarez will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Corbin has a large platoon split. Francisco Alvarez pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Mark Canha ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league. This matchup is expected to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Mark Canha will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's game... and even better, Corbin has a large platoon split.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league. This matchup is expected to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Mark Vientos will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Corbin has a large platoon split. Mark Vientos will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Danny Mendick has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.